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Wet spell in northwest to continue for 2 more days

Vinson Kurian

Thiruvananthapuram , July 12

THE ongoing interaction between the prevailing monsoon system and an incoming western disturbance is expected to continue over the next two days bringing fairly widespread to widespread showers over many parts of northwest India.

According to a weather forecast by the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) for the next five days, the States of Uttar Pradesh, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana and eastern parts of Rajasthan will receive good showers during the period. Isolated heavy to very heavy rains are expected over western Uttar Pradesh, Uttaranchal and Himachal Pradesh.

The prevailing monsoon system in the form of an upper air cyclonic circulation and positioned over east Uttar Pradesh and adjoining north Madhya Pradesh on Monday has moved further north and lay over west Uttar Pradesh and adjoining area on Tuesday afternoon. This is likely to further move in a north-northwesterly direction during next two days as even as it encounters the incoming westerlies. The western disturbance, meanwhile, lay in the form of an upper air cyclonic circulation over Pakistan and northwest Rajasthan.

On Tuesday, the axis of the monsoon trough at sea level passed through Anoopgarh, Alwar, Kanpur, Daltonganj and Balasore to the east-central Bay of Bengal. As reported, the NCMRWF expects the western end of the trough to move north along with cyclonic circulation over the next two days.

In its forecast for other homogenous regions of the country, the NCMRWF said scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls is expected over east Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Orissa and the Northeastern States. Rainfall activity in the northeast as well as over sub-Himalayan West Bengal is likely to enhance.

In central India, fairly widespread rains are expected over Chhattisgarh, east Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha, and scattered over west Madhya Pradesh during the next 2-3 days. The rain activity may reduce thereafter.

In the South, fairly widespread rainfall is likely over coastal Karnataka and Kerala. It will be isolated to scattered over the rest s of the region during this period.

Fairly widespread rains are expected over Konkan and Goa during the next 2-3 days. Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Gujarat and West Rajasthan may receive scattered rains during this period. East Rajasthan is likely to receive fairly widespread rains during the next 24 hours.

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