The Hindu Business Line : Cold wave may return to North by weekend

THE cross-over and propagation of a western disturbance into Jammu and Kashmir and adjoining parts of northwest India have brought about warmer nights, a trend that is expected to hold until next Thursday.

Under its influence, scattered to fairly widespread snowfall is expected over the hilly regions of the northwest (Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttaranchal). Scattered rains are likely over the adjoining plains of Punjab, Haryana (Chandigarh and Delhi included), western Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan over the next few days.

Scattered to fairly widespread rains have been reported from peninsular India as well during the past 24 hours ending 8.30 a.m. on Sunday. South coastal Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Lakshadweep recorded rainfall from a weather system prevailing over the southeast Arabian Sea.

The North-eastern States also recorded some rain activity during the period under reference. Cold wave conditions are likely to return to most parts of the North and the northwest after the western disturbance moves further east-northeast, taking away the warm front end of the system. In an indicative forecast valid for Delhi and the National Capital Region (NCR), the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) has said that the warming trend will prevail until Tuesday (minimum temperature reaching around 10 degrees Celsius).

The minimum will plunge to five degrees Celsius by Friday even as the day maximum will continue to hover around 24 degrees Celsius. Whether the minimum can plunge to still lower scales would depend largely on the play-out of a host of factors, said Dr K. J. Ramesh of the NCMRWF.

Meanwhile, Friday's `low' over the Indian Ocean to the South of the peninsular tip got intensified into a well-marked `low' and further into a depression even as it kept moving West to enter the adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. The depression moved in a predominantly west-northwest direction during the last 24 hours ending Sunday morning, but got weakened in the process.

The resulting `low' is persisting over the southeast Arabian Sea on Sunday as well. Dr Ramesh said the system is likely to move further west-northwest before dissipating gradually.

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