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Monday, Mar 13, 2006


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Agri-Biz & Commodities - Technical Analysis
Industry & Economy - Petroleum


Short-term outlook bearish for crude

Short-term view

Crude oil futures turned weak in line with our earlier outlook. The short-term outlook remains bearish and a drop to the support zone at $57-58 a barrel mark appears on the cards. A close below $57 would impart further weakness and could push the crude oil price to $55-55.5. An upward move is likely to face resistance at $61.2-61.5.

Long term outlook

The long-term outlook for crude oil futures remains positive. The prices have unfolded in line with our broad expectations. The next segment of the long-term upward move would commence on the completion of the downward corrective trend that the Crude oil price is presently confined to. On the completion of the corrective phase, crude oil price could move past the highs recorded in August last.

(Note: The above analysis is based on technical analysis of the historical price movement. There is a risk of loss in trading. Feed back on the analysis may be sent to bkumar@thehindu.co.in)

B.Krishnakumar

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