• Investment World
• eWorld
• Brand Line
• Mentor
• Life
• Canvas
• Praxis
• Urban Pulse
• Brand Quest
• The New Manager

Stocks

• Quotes
• SE Diary
• Scoreboard
• Open-End Mutual Fund

Cross Currency

• Rates
  
  

Shipping

• Ports
  
  

Archives

• Yesterday
• Datewise
• Resources
• In Focus
• In Depth

Group Sites

• The Hindu
• Business Line
• Sportstar
• Frontline
• The Hindu eBooks
• The Hindu Images

Vinson Kurian

Thiruvananthapuram , June 18

Contrary to projections, there has been noticeable deterioration in the dynamics associated with the reviving monsoon during the last 24 hours prompting forecasters to scale down their expectations of the event.

The revival will not be of a classical monsoon type, said Mr J.V. Singh of the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF). The cluster of clouds was also seen having drifted clear from the central Arabian Sea to south of Sri Lanka overnight.

The kinetic energy required to drive the pulse has failed to measure up to projected values, he said. There will be a revival of monsoon over the next two days, but weak in scale and intensity. Upper level easterly winds have continued to flag, robbing the monsoon ensemble of a vital component.

Latest NCMRWF projections favour a revival in fortunes by June 26/27 (early next week). A cyclonic circulation is predicted to form over the Bay of Bengal to help monsoon get a move on into the farming hinterland.

Mr Jim Andrews of the US-based private sector forecaster, AccuWeather, also is of the opinion that `the southwest monsoon would take time returning.' Setting aside earlier predictions, he said analysis of satellite pictures suggest `a slow return of monsoon rains after June 20 (Tuesday).'

As with May's onset, this time around it is forecast to unfold first in the far northeast and along the western shores of Kerala, Karnataka and Sri Lanka. By July 1, scattered drenching rains are indicated over the peninsular east and north to the plains of the Ganga, even extending to the foothills of the Himalayas.

According to Mr Andrews, projections support a scenario where pockets in Central and North India would continue to register deficient rainfall during July. But the NCMRWF was averse to taking a call that far ahead.

More Stories on : Climate & Weather | Climate & Weather

Article E-Mail :: Comment :: Syndication :: Printer Friendly Page

Stories in this Section
New hybrid scores over traditional basmati

Copyright © 2006, The Hindu Business Line. Republication or redissemination of the contents of this screen are expressly prohibited without the written consent of The Hindu Business Line