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Plains may see fair skies until March 20

Vinson Kurian

Night temperatures likely to fall 2-4 degrees C; day temperatures may rise

Thiruvananthapuram March 13 The skies are clearing over the plains of northwest India after the passage of the rogue western disturbance, and mostly fair weather would prevail over the next seven days.

Dr Akhilesh Gupta of the Department of Science and Technology said the plains would be free from big rain events at least until March 20.

This period would also see a weak disturbance making its way stealthily across the higher reaches, but without creating much weather.

But this is likely to be followed by another system with moderate intensity (next only to `active' systems in perceived capacity to trigger weather). Dr Gupta said no exact predictions could be made at this point for the northwest.

Meanwhile, the region is bracing for a fall in night temperatures in the wake of the `rogue' system. This is because warm south-southwesterlies give way to colder northwesterlies as the system rolls into the east.

An India Meteorological Department (IMD) update said night temperatures would fall by 2-4 degree Celsius, while day temperatures would rise by 5-6 degrees Celsius. Fog conditions are also likely at some places in the plains on Wednesday and Thursday.

TAIL MAY WAG

The tail of the rogue system could still wag, triggering rain/thundershowers in isolated areas in the plains of Punjab, Haryana, Delhi and west Uttar Pradesh. Its convective front-end is located far into east India, with likelihood of scattered to fairly widespread rain/thundershowers in the region.

For the third successive day on Tuesday, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) persisted with its outlook for rain accompanied by high winds over large parts of east Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Jharkhand. A hail watch has also been maintained.

Rain/thundershowers are also likely over the next 48 hours at many places over east Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim and at a few places over Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Orissa, east Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh.

Widespread precipitation has been reported from the western Himalayan region during the 24 hours ending Tuesday morning with scattered heavy to very heavy falls over Jammu and Kashmir. Moderate rain/thundershowers occurred at many places with isolated hail/squall over the plains of northwest India, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.

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