The Hindu Business Line : Monsoon runs up entire country 11 days ahead

Thiruvananthapuram, July 4 A hyper active remnant of erstwhile tropical storm ‘04B’ herded the monsoon current into the remaining parts of Rajasthan, Haryana and Punjab, thus, bringing the entire country under its footprint on Wednesday at least 11 days ahead of normal.

An India Meteorological Department (IMD) update said that the existing ‘low’ (‘04B’ remnant) over the central parts of Rajasthan was alive and kicking. It would still be able to generate isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall over southwest and east Rajasthan for another day. Isolated heavy rainfall is also likely over north Gujarat.

RAINS TO WANE

Rising surface pressures in the region show that ‘04B’ is fading after presiding over some of the most entrenched rains (up to 50 cm in 48 hours at some places) over Gujarat and western Maharashtra, said Mr Jim Andrews of AccuWeather.com. An overall waning of rains is expected over the west in the next two days, he added.

Meanwhile, in the east, Tuesday’s newly formed ‘low’ over northeast Bay of Bengal has intensified twice over to become a depression overnight and lay centred over the Bangladesh coast on Wednesday morning.

The system is likely to move slowly in a northwesterly direction and cut a path inland into India. It will bring widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls over Gangetic West Bengal during the next two days.

NEXT ‘LOW’ BY MID-JULY

The US National Centres for Environmental Prediction has indicated that the subsequent week (July 10 to 17) will see another ‘low’ spinning up in the Head Bay, which will move west-northwest over land. This goes to support the outlook that the monsoon might not go into a ‘break phase’ anytime soon.

The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting has already gone on record with this view.

In fact, this decisively important ‘low’ is shown as meandering its way through greater West Bengal, Orissa, Andhra Pradesh, Jharkhand, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Uttar Pradesh, Delhi and Haryana to replicate the wind-swept torrents witnessed just the past week. It could even go on to spark explosive rains over the Konkan and coastal Karnataka as well.

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