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Will budget be a non-event?

Khan found that the stock market reacts to the sentiment rather than budget. Large positions built in anticipation of friendly budget leads unwinding or spurs more buying, as may be the case, Dakshinamoorthy felt. Jogin had other things to think about. The Railway budget was his favourite since logistics seems to be the new flavour. Sridevi joined in late. Over to Market Chat…

* * *

Jog: So the bonus is on!

Sri: U and ur obsession wid Reliance Power.

Jog: 3:5 ratio. A steal. @IPO cost price cums to 269!

Kay: Hey might be on to sum thing.

Jog: 2mrrw Rpowr is going over Rs 450 for da 1st time

Dax: Maybe. R-Power will be included in the BSE-500

Sri: …Also in BSE Pwr index from Feb 29

Kay: HDFC-CBoP merger is gr8 news.

Sri: Me stuck @62 in CBoP from December.

Jog: Any more banks looking like acquisition targets?

Dax: Theoretically, CBoP can touch Rs 75 high on Mon.

Kay: The biggest banking takeover. Is CBoP a buy?

Sri: Lets c the actual share swap ratio.

Jog: Hrd 1HDFC Bk share for15-20 CBoP shares

Kay: @ Frdy’s price, HDFC Bk share is around Rs 1150.

Sri: Swap ratio may be even higher!

Jog: Any idea of short covering ahead of F&O expiry?

Dax: Doubts. Coz Feb F&O series had low participation

Kay: Watch out for rollovers to the next series.

Sri: Unless 1 has good view of budget impact…

Dax: Why wud he rollover a day b4 budget?

Jog: Hope no Chinese yellow fvr spooks mkts dis time

Kay: Remember last time. Ufff! Chinese tax rumor…

Dax: If its nt a high risk budget, gains will also be low

Sri: Talk of some securities transaction tax is heard.

Dax: Unlikely if u ask me

Kay: Dat wud be big -ve. Anyways any picks to look for?

Sri: Avoid midcaps. May b hotels, pharma, eqpmnts

Dax: Sum activity in railway-linked counters expected.

Sri: Kalindee, Texmaco?

Jog: Depends where Lalu looks. (Laughs)

Kay: Ticket prices lowered might mean –ve 4 airlines

Dax: Anyone saw rupee. Its over 40 nw.

Jog: Is RBI not interfering? Artificial supply crunch?

Sri: Tight money mkt. If FIIs sell, INR is goin up den?

Kay: Can happen. Might see FIIs..,

Dax: Stopping becoz dey will lose money! (Chuckles)

Jog: Good. I dnt see a pre-budget rally. Mood is nt gr8.

Dax: If Union budget is special den Snsx may move up?

Kay: PC’s last shot at GLORY!

Sri: He is sure to touch Infrastructure.

Jog: Sum clarity on natural gas transmission pipelines?

Dax: Yes. That wud be gud. Any views on new listings?

Kay: Got sum allotment in both IRB and Tulsi.

Sri: Will list at premium but den go down

Jog: If they go down, u can hold it. IRB is F&O too.

Dax: IPO action is in Future Ventures and Rel Infratel.

Kay: Hopefully mkt will improve for IPOs.

Jog: REC received gud response. 27x times!!!

Sri: Any idea on Dish TV? Read dat PE fund deal is off.

Kay: Stock has fell a lot frm Rs 130.

Dax: Mkt’s verdict is always harsh. Sure to fall more.

Kay: Nice tip… I hope budget is gud.

Sri: I will love it I hv 2 pay less tax.

Jog: Everybody enjoys a free lunch, but nt being one.

Sri: Ya true. Bbye (Logs off)

* * *

Kum with inputs from Bad, and Lee

Blog at http://MarketChat.blogspot.com

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3:5 bonus from Reliance Power; effective price will be Rs 269


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Will budget be a non-event?
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