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Agri-Biz & Commodities - Climate & Weather
‘Westerly double’ to unsettle weather in N-West

Vinson Kurian

Thiruvananthapuram, March 31 The area of convection associated with the persisting trough of low pressure over Southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal has dissipated, according to the US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (JTWC).

This region, to the west of northern Andaman Islands, is no longer considered suspect for development of a cyclone, said the JTWC update at 2.30 p.m. on Monday. The sole exception would be coastal Andhra Pradesh, where moisture being steered inward by the southeasterly flows from the resident anti-cyclone could kick up some weather.

FOCUS SHIFTS

The focus would now shift to hot-to-hotter northwest India bracing to receive two incoming western disturbances over the next few days. The systems are expected to spin off weather events ranging from thunder squalls to thundershowers along a wide swath extending from northwest India to the extreme northeast.

The threat of hailstorms too needs to be contended with during this time of the year, according to weather watchers. In the event, the mercury is forecast to climb down by a few notches in the region. The unsettled weather will hold until April 8, according to predictions by the US Navy Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Centre(FNMOC).

TROUGH TO SOUTH

An India Meteorological Department (IMD) update on Monday said that a trough ran down south from Madhya Pradesh to south Tamil Nadu through Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra, Telangana, Rayalaseema and south interior Karnataka.

Dry northwesterlies and moist southeasterlies from the Bay of Bengal could combine to set up some unstable weather along this formation wedged right through the centre of the landmass.

Isolated dust storms or thunderstorm are likely over Rajasthan, Gujarat, south Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, west and east Madhya Pradesh till Tuesday and isolated thereafter, said an IMD forecast.

DIPPING JET

The FNMOC predictions show the sub-tropical westerly jet dipping down to sashay across the west Rajasthan border in a southwest-to-northeast configuration. The first western disturbance in the series currently lying over north Pakistan and adjoining Jammu and Kashmir is likely to cause scattered to fairly widespread rain/thundershowers over western Himalayan region.

The IMD update said that an induced upper air cyclonic circulation over Haryana and neighbourhood may cause isolated dust storms or thunderstorms over northwest India including Delhi. The second westerly system would impact northwest for five days from Wednesday.

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