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Monsoon advances into Mumbai, south Gujarat

Surge likely to last till July 10.


Vinson Kurian

Thiruvananthapuram, June 24

Tuesday’s deep depression crossed the south Gujarat coast and weakened, but brought in monsoon rains past Mumbai and to the immediate northwest.

On Wednesday, the northern limit passed through Bhuj, Baroda, Nasik, Solapur, Hyderabad, Kalingapatnam, Paradip, Balasore, Bankura, Gangtok, said an India Meteorological Department (IMD) update.

The monsoon has advanced into the entire central Arabian Sea, parts of north Arabian Sea, south Gujarat and the remaining parts of north Konkan and more parts of Madhya Maharashtra.

Conditions are favourable for further advance over the remaining parts of Gujarat during the next two days.

BAY ‘LOW’

Meanwhile, the Noida-based National Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting said that a ‘low’ is likely to form over northwest Bay of Bengal around Friday.

A cyclonic circulation has already become established over the northwest Bay on Wednesday. Another cyclonic circulation lay over south Andhra Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu coast.

The Bay system is expected to help drive monsoon rains along the eastern flanks of the country – mainly Orissa, Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh - until Sunday, up to which forecasts were available.

The US National Centres for Environmental Prediction expected the ongoing monsoon surge to last until July 10, as per updated forecasts.

The week ending July 1 will see rains cover most of central India and east India up to east Uttar Pradesh.

SUCCESSOR ‘LOW’S

The week that follows would see helpful low-pressure areas springing up over the north Arabian Sea and northwest Bay of Bengal to further entrench the monsoon current over the western coast and central India.

The IMD has warned of rainfall at most places over Saurashtra, Kutch and Diu with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls (above 25 cm) during the next 24 hours.

Towards the east, isolated heavy falls are likely over Assam, Meghalaya and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

During the three days ending Monday, fairly widespread rainfall has been forecast over the west coast, east India, Chhattisgarh, north Andhra Pradesh, the North-East and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

Severe heat wave conditions are expected to continue over these regions for two more days. They are expected to lift first from east India and later central India in tandem with the penetration of the monsoon current over the next few days.

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