Financial Daily from THE HINDU group of publications Monday, Oct 18, 2004 |
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Markets
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Stock Markets As you fear shadows, there's light shining somewhere
Not knowing if Monday would rise to witness a `spine-tingling climax' or an abject surrender, when the second Test finishes in Chepauk, Khan bowls chat-lines on markets to his friends Jogin, Sridevi and Dakshinamoorthy. Hang on till the bails are on.
Kay: The week would be full of Q2 results. Jog: I doubt if index heavyweights will announce now. So, I see no impact. Sri: Hi, everybody. Market seems to have peaked in the short term. Dax: True, some selling is possible this week. Crude concerns are not over. Jog: Tech space, especially Satyam, could remain firm. Cement could surprise. Sri: ONGC would benefit from crude spiral. Negative for oil marketing. Kay: That's right, they're hit by the decision not to raise petrol prices. Jog: As Jonathan Santos said, "Never fear shadows," `cos "there is a light shining somewhere". Kay: I see action coming up in mid-cap. Results for most of the companies could be good. Sri: But that got factored in the rise of stock price over the last one month. Further rise unlikely. Dax: So investors sitting on profits should exit. If you want to buy, wait. Enter later. In my opinion. Kay: Cotton spinning mills seem to be caught in some sort of web. Cotton prices are falling but huge yarn stocks burden them. Plus, they have cotton bought at high prices. Jog: Yarn and cloth buyers are adopting a wait-and-watch policy. Problem for some big mills. Sri: Dishman Pharma could see some action. It signed a first-of-its-kind receivables securitisation! Dax: Tea industry appears to operate on the front foot. Mujnai Estate is getting alive in Dooars! Jog: Cuppa cheereth? But I heard `boom' when somebody said Bhushan Steel. Politically right? Sri: Quiet. Let's talk something sweet. Say, EID Parry. Sugar boom plus huge real estate! Kay: A hidden asset, that is. Heard there's FII interest stirred up. Now, if you want to think high... Jog: I know, you're going to talk about Mount Everest Mineral Water. FIIs have taken 11 per cent. Dax: But, wait! Stock price has not moved. A takeover target for Coke, Pepsi, HLL or Nestle? Sri: Outcome of Balaji Telefilms board meeting will be out before the market opens. Jog: If they announce dividend of Rs 15-16 then I'd take position for upside of around Rs 20. Dax: Else, I'd wait for some time, as stock price will be down and one can accumulate at lower level. Kay: Open offer at Rs 90 by Star TV will come, so the possibility of loss in the stock is minimum. Sri: Let me warn everybody: There's a lot of risk in making money. :-) Dax: Sri, did you say, there's a lot of money in taking risk? Jog: Hey, don't confuse everybody. She said, it is less risky not to make any money, right? * * * * *
Lee, with inputs from Vir, Nat, Sub, Ray and Sve.
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