The Hindu Business Line : Central India gets monsoon showers

WEATHERMEN watching activity in the Bay of Bengal have received further indications that the low-pressure forecast for next week is well on course, and may even surprise by maturing a few hours earlier than predicted.

Speaking to Business Line, Dr Akhilesh Gupta, Director, National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF), said prevailing monsoon winds were logging 20-25 knots an hour. The winds were seen picking up in speed, reaching 30 knots as early as on Sunday, to take the rain belt further inland.

In its update on Friday, the NCMREF said the southwest monsoon had advanced as a weak current over the remaining parts of Maharashtra, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, Bihar and Jharkhand, entire Chhattisgarh, some more parts of east Uttar Pradesh, Saurashtra and Kutch, Gujarat and southern parts of Madhya Pradesh.

The northern limit of monsoon passed through Naliya, Ahmedabad, Bhopal, Jabalpur, Varanasi and Bahraich, signalling the system's entry into central India.

On the western flank, the Arabian Sea arm was progressing well, and could even trigger the onset in western Uttar Pradesh without having to wait for the low-pressure in the Bay.

The prevailing upper air cyclonic circulation over central Uttar Pradesh would only hasten the process, Dr Gupta said. This might help set up favourable conditions for the monsoon to probe areas surrounding the National Capital Region, Haryana and Himachal Pradesh slightly earlier than thought. The normal day of onset for Delhi is June 29.

The monsoon-driving `heat low' becoming more pronounced in Pakistan, Dr Gupta said. Across the international border, adjoining Rajasthan was only warming up to the prospect. Satellite pictures revealed a wide swathe of geography devoid of any cloud formation, typical of a scenario wherein air pressure was on the ebb.

As for the outlook for the next few days, conditions are favourable for further advancement of monsoon over parts of west Uttar Pradesh, Uttaranchal, some more parts of West Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Saurashtra and Kutch, and parts of southeast Rajasthan during the next four days. Scattered rainfall is likely over west Uttar Pradesh and Uttaranchal and isolated over the rest of the region during the next four days.

The north-eastern States and West Bengal are likely to receive fairly widespread to widespread rains/thundershowers with isolated heavy to very heavy rains during the next five days. Rainfall activity over Orissa, Bihar and Jharkhand is likely to get enhanced during the next five days. East Uttar Pradesh is likely to receive fairly widespread rainfall during the next three days.

During the next three days, rainfall will be scattered in Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Lakshadweep, Kerala, south interior Karnataka; fairly widespread in Andaman and Nicobar Islands, coastal Karnataka and coastal Andhra; and isolated in north interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Telangana and Rayalaseema.

Over the next 3-4 days, rainfall will be widespread with isolated heavy to very heavy spells over Konkan and Goa, scattered to fairly widespread over Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, south Gujarat, south Saurashtra and Kutch. Rajasthan is likely to experience mainly dry weather along with heat wave conditions.

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