![]() Financial Daily from THE HINDU group of publications Monday, Jun 27, 2005 |
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Markets
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Stock Markets Columns - Chat It takes a lot of courage to show your dreams
Jogin went round a neighbourhood bull statue with a secret wish that he uttered for the umpteenth time. Sridevi emptied her lungs of all air to overfill a balloon and perform a burst test. Khan rewound in time as he sat reading a book on Emergency. And Dakshinamoorthy summoned everyone for the weekly chat on markets. Hop in! Dax: Hey, how does a raging bull sound! Not huff-puff, anyway! :-) Jog: Want to learn a new lingo because of the prevailing mood? Kay: Market is still bullish as some short sellers are stuck up. Sri : The rise on Friday was partially due to covering by short sellers. Dax: For the first time, both Sensex and Nifty touched historic highs! Jog: Markets rallied sharply belying the media talks of bearishness. Kay: We thought some correction was due any moment last week. Sri : That didn’t happen. Is it true that many stayed away or sold off? Jog: Experienced traders and investors were sitting on the sidelines. JMO Dax: Chart readers say that the market has moved into over-bought zone. Kay: Hmm. They think a correction is imminent… Sri : Though it may be preceded by an upward move in the Nifty. Jog: Markets may remain firm till the expiry of derivative deals on 30th. Kay: Expect Sensex to rise by another 200 this week. Then will come... Dax: Selling? So, later in the week it would be good time to exit? Sri : Right thinking. Mid-cap and small cap stocks will remain firm. Kay: Expect steel stocks to do well. Outlook for the sector is strong. Jog: Another stock to watch out is Encore Software. Sri : Preferential offer by the company to some institutional investors? Dax: Talks are that the placement would happen around Rs 70-100. Jog: I’m thinking of taking position in Reliance Capital. It ran up 40% Sri : Placement of shares to institutional investors likely around Rs 500. Kay: But that will take some time, as the company has to hike the FII limit. Jog: Several FIIs have shown interest in the company to pick up stake. Sri : Sumitomo has wrestled into a vantage position in Swaraj Mazda. Kay: Factor in pricing of deal with Punjab Tractors at Rs 400, likelihood of a new ownership structure and a new technical partner… Dax: Yes, all this could see Swaraj Mazda stock retain its upward move. Sri : Is a hefty dividend likely from Punjab Tractors? It is set to receive… Jog: About Rs 60 cr from Sumitomo for selling part of its stake in Swaraj. Kay: Don’t forget that the company is known for liberal dividend payment. Dax: A dividend play in the offing? “If it were not for hopes...” Jog: “...heart would break,” said JFK. Some rally left in the ITC counter. Sri : Rising crude prices casts a shadow though ONGC will be fancied. Jog: May we see ONGC - largest market cap stock - hitting Rs 1000? Kay: Expect further upside in Bharat Forge as it has sewn up an acquisition in the US market whose payoffs could be attractive. Dax: It’s buying Federal Forge with revenues of $60 million for $9 million! Jog: I was checking what happened to some of the stocks that we discussed last week. Rel Cap gained almost 25 per cent on June 20. Sri : Rel Enr made almost half of that. Reliance was up about 5 per cent. Kay: IOL Broadband made 4, and so did IPCL. Satyam Comp gained almost 3.5, Spanco Tele was up 2 per cent, followed by Linc Pen. Dax: Pantaloon and Ultramarine made a profit of less than a per cent. Sri : Expect India Cements to rule firm; it posted profits after three years. Kay: Murudeshwar Ceramics can also benefit from impressive earnings! Jog: Markets likely to take a favourable view of Television Eighteen’s move to advance conversion of warrants into equity. Dax: If the share transfer to promoter’s daughter is not treated as part of the 26 per cent allowed for FIIs/FDI, NDTV could be in for firm trend. Sri : Yeah, I’m watching news-feed on this issue! Caution Left button! Kay: What, Sri? Worried about their “strong message” on disinvestment? Dax: Yaar, this can beat the market black and blue! Arey, bull bhagwan! Jog: I see 7,500 as big as a football! Or, is it a ‘reliable’ illusion? Sri : It takes a lot of courage to show your dreams to someone else! Dax: Erma Bombeck’s! “In dreams begins responsibility,” is of W.B.Yeats. Kay: “A mind enclosed in language is in prison,” said Simone Weil. With Japanese investors buying heavily, daijoubu desu yo means… Dax: No problem! Ii kangae desu ne is great idea! “Spend not on hopes!” Jog: And to agree say doukan desu. As with that George Herbert’s idea! Sri : Dareka eigo o hanasemasuka? Is there someone here who speaks English, to alert everyone ah-boo-nigh? Look out! Kay: “Cold hopes swarm like worms within our living clay,” warns Shelley! ** Lee, with inputs from Vir, Nat, Mad, Bad, The and Sve. Send in your views to: Chat@TheHindu.co.in.
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