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Vinson Kurian

Thiruvananthapuram, Feb. 5

The cyclonic circulation forming part of the larger westerly trough has detached itself from the perch over Rajasthan and moved over central Uttar Pradesh on Tuesday.

This shift will put a premium on the prospects of disturbed weather sustaining in the hills and plains beyond the weekend, clearing the way for the next bout of cold wave conditions in the north and northwest.

The larger western disturbance and the cyclonic circulation are expected to move in an east-north-eastward direction but the moisture intake being left behind by the latter would be drained out as snow and rain over the hills and plains.

Scattered to fairly widespread precipitation has been forecast over the western Himalayan for four more days. Isolated to scattered rain/thundershowers are also likely over plains of northwest India during the same period. Gradual let-up in precipitation is likely to be perceptible from Friday onwards.

Snowfall is likely at many places over Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Isolated rain or thundershowers are predicted over Punjab, north Haryana, Chandigarh during the next 24 hours and scattered thereafter. Isolated rain is likely over the rest region.

Other regions where rain or thundershowers have been forecast are Chhattisgarh, east Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim and Jharkhand. A cyclonic circulation over Assam and Meghalaya and neighbourhood is expected to hold one end of the rain footprint up towards the east.

Cold wave conditions are likely over some parts of Gujarat region, Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Marathawada during the next two days consequent on the western disturbance having cleared out from these regions in west and west-central India.

Meanwhile, Monday’s cyclonic circulation over Kerala and neighbourhood lay over Lakshadweep area and adjoining Kerala. Isolated rain or thundershowers are likely over the region outside north interior Karnataka where weather will be mainly dry.

An impending brief lull in the movement of western disturbances in the northwest should coincide with a corresponding perk-up in activity towards the south peninsula. Easterly waves/troughs in the Bay of Bengal have been forecast to stir up some unsettled weather in the south from the weekend.

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