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Sunday, Jan 19, 2003

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Nasdaq at crucial juncture

B. Krishnakumar

THE sentiment at the American stock market was distinctly bearish during the week gone by. The flow of lacklustre quarterly performance from top companies stalled the two-week upward trend.

The fall last week was spear headed by the technology heavy weights Microsoft and IBM. Earnings warning from these companies dented market sentiment.

As a result, the benchmark indices logged sharp declines on Friday on the back of increased trading volume. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 2.3 per cent while the S&P 500 lost 2.8 per cent. The Nasdaq Composite dipped by 4.9 per cent for the week. The near-term view for the index has now turned weak.

The recent price trend indicates further downside risk for the Nasdaq Composite Index. The index is at a critical juncture at this point in time. Technically, the 1319 mark would be the make or break level for the index. A drop below 1319 would negate the earlier short-term bullish outlook while a move above 1430 would have positive implications.

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