The monsoon has been stuck over a small arc linking Gujarat and West Rajasthan over the past few days as it waits to run through the last outpost to establish coverage over mainland India.

The India Meteorological Department says it will take two more days for it to accomplish this significant milestone.

Rain in Rajasthan Heavy rain has been reported over west Rajasthan and adjoining Gujarat as the footprint of a wet spell reached out from Madhya Pradesh.

The rains are forecast to sustain over Central and adjoining North-West India for the next few days given the presence of helpful atmospheric systems (low-pressure areas and other circulations).

These include the low-pressure area over North-East Madhya Pradesh and upper air cyclonic circulations over South-West Madhya Pradesh and Odisha-Jharkhand.

Completing the ensemble is the land-based trough extending from North-West Rajasthan to East-Central Bay of Bengal through north Chhattisgarh and Odisha.

Weak phase As for Tuesday, the Met has forecast heavy to very heavy rain over at a few places over Gujarat; isolated places over east Rajasthan and west Madhya Pradesh; heavy at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, west Rajasthan, east Madhya Pradesh, Saurashtra and Kutch.

An almost similar forecast is valid for the period for the next four days until Friday, following which the rains are forecast to confine themselves increasingly to the northern and north-eastern parts of the country.

Projections by the Met Department itself suggest that this scenario will emerge from July 16 to 25 with rains drying up gradually from Peninsular, Central and West India.

This has all the trappings of an emerging weak phase, which the monsoon invariably runs into after a productive spell.

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