The India Met Department has put out a watch for a fresh low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal in what is a clear pointer to a productive session of the monsoon through the first week of July.

This is the second in a row to materialise in the Bay, even as a predecessor parked over South Chhattisgarh blinked in tandem, since both cannot exist at the same time.

In view of this development, the Met has assessed that conditions are favourable for the rains to march into most parts of North-West India, including west Rajasthan, the last outpost, over the next three days.

Forecast Accordingly, over the next three days, the monsoon will enter more parts of Gujarat and West Rajasthan, the remaining parts of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, west Madhya Pradesh, and Uttar Pradesh, most parts of Punjab and Haryana and the whole of Chandigarh and Delhi.

Seasonal rains would have mostly made good the eight-day delay that had hindered the monsoon’s spread and advance from Kerala on the south-west coast.

During the 24 hours that ended on Wednesday morning, the West Coast continued to witness heavy to very heavy rain with Honnavar recording 20 cm; Harnai-18 cm; Mormugao and Karwar-15 cm each; Ratnagiri-14 cm; Vengurla-13 cm; Panjim and Alibagh-11 cm each; and Mumbai Santa Cruz- 10 cm.

Monsoon activity towards the East of the country was not that pronounced, principally because an existing low-pressure area over South Chhattisgarh had weakened overnight. Still it was enough to bring heavy rainfall of 11 cm of rain to Kothagudem in Telangana.

Reading from the preparedness at the ground level and distribution of helpful atmospheric features, it is more or less clear that the monsoon is readying for an expansion over North India in the first week of July.

On Thursday, heavy to very heavy rain has been forecast at isolated places over Konkan-Goa; heavy rain in most places over west Madhya Pradesh, the hills of West Bengal and Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, south Odisha, south Chhattisgarh, coastal Andhra Pradesh, coastal Karnataka and Kerala.

On Friday, July 1, the rains are seen breaking heavy over parts of North-West India, especially over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, west Uttar Pradesh, and east Rajasthan.

comment COMMENT NOW