Comments
Will the outlook for El Nino conditions developing in central and east Pacific cloud the prospects of the Monsoon this year?
It may be too early to make an assumption, say weather experts.
El Nino should have been triggered in December and matured in April/May to be able to impact the Indian monsoon that follows, they say.
But early forecasts by South Korean and Japan models respectively, tend to suggest that June may possibly see below normal rainfall.
The APEC Climate Centre based in Busan, South Korea, however, sees July making amends thanks to excess rain in Maharashtra, Karnataka and parts of Madhya Pradesh. But Tokyo-based Regional Institute for Global Change has forecast below-normal rainfall during June-August.
It has also suggested that El Nino may start evolving from April-May and reach peak strength in the latter half of the year.
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts has predicted that May-July period may see “just-about normal” rain for the country as a whole.
The International Research Institute at Columbia University sees no deviation from “climatology” during May-July for entire country.
El Nino refers to the warming of the central and east Pacific and cooling of the West, which lies closer to India.
Comments
COMMENT NOW
Comments
Comments have to be in English, and in full sentences. They cannot be abusive or personal. Please abide by our community guidelines for posting your comments.
We have migrated to a new commenting platform. If you are already a registered user of TheHindu Businessline and logged in, you may continue to engage with our articles. If you do not have an account please register and login to post comments. Users can access their older comments by logging into their accounts on Vuukle.