The monsoon has intensified once again over the eastern parts of the country, with spill-over rains reaching parts of adjoining interior during the last 24 hours.

Cherrapunji in Assam got pulverised under 40 cm of rainfall, with Passighat (26 cm) and Shillong and Siliguri (13 cm each) making up the rear in that order.

RAIN OUTLOOK

Many places over Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema, east Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Orissa and Jharkhand have received overnight rains.

A few places over Kerala, interior Karnataka, Telangana and coastal Andhra Pradesh made gains, though not very significant.

The southeast coast and adjoining interior get variously affected from enhanced rains along the foothills of Himalayas as the monsoon shuts out briefly across the rest of the mainland.

India Meteorological Department (IMD) has warned of heavy to very heavy to extremely heavy falls (exceeding 25 cm) over sub Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Meghalaya and Arunachal Pradesh during next two days.

Heavy rainfall may break out over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal, Orissa and Chhattisgarh also.

RELIEF SHOWERS

Rain or thundershowers has been forecast at many places over central India and along the west coast.

Parts of Vidarbha, east Uttar Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Lakshadweep also get passing moderate to heavy rains.

Some relief rains are indicated for parts for west and northwest India, although they may not be sufficient to make significant dent on the deficit situation.

Meanwhile, a couple of model prognosis suggested that the rains over central India may taper off after July 25 and head, once again, towards the foothills of the Himalayas.

EASTWARD-BOUND?

The rain deficit in east and northeast India has already been reduced to a manageable 10 per cent, and the ensuing rains could help wipe out the deficit entirely.

But the situation over northwest India, central and peninsular India may once again weaken, leaving behind varying deficits (33 per cent and 26 per cent each in the latter two as on Sunday).

vinson.kurian@thehindu.co.in

(This article was published on July 16, 2012)
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