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Monsoon relents over North, heavy rain belt moving East

Vinson Kurian
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Monsoon is now entering a lull phase with heavy rains getting confined to East India and along the West Coast.

Fresh rains may strike flood-ravaged Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh early next week, an India Met Department outlook said.

RAINS FOR EAST

A warning valid for next two days said that heavy rain may lash West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Meghalaya, coastal Karnataka, Kerala and Lakshadweep.

Rain may lash many places over East India and spread to adjoining central India from during the same period, it added.

Predictions by US agencies suggested that two waves of rain emerging from Bay of Bengal would head north into the foothills of Himalayas and spare plains of North-West India during next two weeks.

After Uttarakhand, eastern foothills of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar could likely turn soft targets for heavy to very heavy precipitation.

The week beginning Thursday would see rains continue to batter parts of West Coast. Heavy rains are also forecast for Chhattisgarh and adjoining east Madhya Pradesh.

INTERIOR PENINSULA

Some rains are forecast for rest of central India. West Maharashtra (except coast), Telengana, Rayalaseema, coastal Andhra Pradesh; Karnataka (except coast) and Tamil Nadu may be left out.

West Coast may get some respite during the following week from June 27 to July 3. Himalayan foothills in east Uttar Pradesh and Bihar along with Nepal uphill are likely to get battered. Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and adjoining Gangetic West Bengal could witness heavy rain.

North-East India would have to make do with indifferent rain. Uttarakhand and adjoining plains around Delhi too may get a coupe of heavy spells.

DRY CONDITIONS

The Climate Prediction Centre of the US National Weather Services said that dry conditions are likely to expand over India during the week from June 26 to July 2.

It reiterated that the monsoon would begin to weaken from now and remain so until the first week of July up to which forecasts were available.

There is an increased risk of tropical cyclone formation in the North-West Pacific, which has implications for Indian monsoon.

Cyclones moving away in a north-northeast direction here (towards Chinese coast, Taiwan or Korea) may hasten monsoon flows over the Peninsula but rob monsoon of its share of moisture.

vinson.kurian@thehindu.co.in

(This article was published on June 20, 2013)
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