Business Daily from THE HINDU group of publications Sunday, Aug 12, 2007 ePaper |
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Investment World
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Books Columns - Book Value Hedge funds demystified D. Murali
Below the prime credit world are subprime mortgages, writes Robert Sherak in an essay included in ‘Hedge Fund & Investment Management’, edited by Izzy Nelken (www.landmarkonthenet.com). Default rates in lower-quality subprime mortgages can exceed 20 per cent per year, he observes. “Securitisations backed by subprime mortgages are usually called ABS (asset backed securities).” Currently, subprime is an area of colossal concern. For instance, at the time of writing, Boston Herald reports, ‘Stocks down as US subprime-mortgage crisis goes global’. This is Money says, ‘Sub prime crisis drags down world markets’. Daily Times, Pakistan notes, ‘Futures slide, subprime woe rattles markets.’ And an August 9-dated story on www.bloomberg.com talks about how two Bear Stearns Cos hedge funds filed for bankruptcy protection in the Cayman Islands two weeks ago because of subprime losses. “The New York-based securities firm then blocked investors from withdrawing money from a third fund.” Several years ago, we used to speak of hedge funds as some mysterious instruments that were quite esoteric, states Nelken in the preface. “In the recent past, investors have relied on hedge funds to produce nice positive returns with low standard deviations.” Alas, this year’s returns don’t promise to be rosy. One reason is the size of the US mortgage market, which is estimated to be nearly $10 trillion in outstanding loans. “Most of this debt has been securitised and is actively traded in over-the-counter markets as it is not listed on any exchange.” Mortgage loans, pooled or packaged, can serve as the collateral for CMOs (collateralised mortgage obligations), explains Sherak. “ABS covers a potpourri of products backed by a wide range of collateral.” Bonds in the ABS universe include ‘credit card receivables, auto leases, mobile homes, aircraft, boats, property leases, and franchise loans’.
An investor in hedge fund faces liquidity risk since capital is typically locked up for a year or two, explains a chapter on ‘liquidity haircut’. During the lockup period, a manager can vary his strategy, increase his risk exposure or worse, blow up, the book cautions. “The haircut can be used when making an allocation decision between a hedge fund and a traditional asset or fund.” Of immense interest should be the chapter on ‘careers in hedge funds’ by Kathleen A. Graham. If you want to become a hedge fund trader, be armed with ‘a Masters degree in analytic finance, or financial mathematics,’ she advises. Hedge funds are not a miracle cure, warns a concluding essay by Harry M. Kat. “Traditional performance evaluation methods like the Sharpe ratio and alpha can be extremely misleading.” Frantically chasing winners, as so many investors tend to do, can only lead to higher costs and consequently lower bottom-line returns, he counsels. “A much more rational strategy is to develop proper due diligence and monitoring procedures, use these to identify professional, trustworthy managers (that charge reasonable fees) and simply stick with them.” Timely read. Invest in IR
IR is no longer merely a means to meet the information requests of analysts and investors, writes M.S. Anand in ‘Investor Relations’ ( www.icfaipress.org ). “While a majority of companies are still at a nascent stage in developing an IR process, barely meeting the minimal disclosure standards, a few others have evolved strategies and are continually disseminating valuable information.” Investor-centric companies have an edge in getting better valuations, he adds. Apart from building relationships and communicating info, the IR professional should get the perception audit done, insists Anand. Such an audit provides feedback on how the market views the company. “It is easier to win the confidence of analysts if the management were to give credible information.” In which case, even a lacklustre performance in a quarter may not elicit an automatic ‘sell’ from the analysts, reasons the author. The analysts would then look for more explanations to check if the long-term story is intact. How should IR respond to grapevine? Give a ‘no comment’ or say ‘we don’t comment on rumours,’ guides Anand. “A company is not obliged to comment on a market grapevine unless the company itself is responsible for the development.” Another word of wisdom to IR professions is to avoid making selective disclosures to a few analysts. A book that can help better the ‘relations’.
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