On paper, the FCI (Food Corporation of India) is said to be holding around 67 million tonnes (mt) of stocks in its warehouse. However, no one knows how much of it exists in reality - physically.

For any Government or bureaucracy, it will be difficult to arrive and acknowledge the actual physical stocks position. Various innovations have been created over the last two years to bring down the reported stock from 80 mt.

The Modi Government had promised to clean up the mess of the previous rule. Will it be in a position to de-legitimate the legacy of the last 50 years (FCI was established in 1964)?

Two years ago, it was found in Indonesia and Malaysia that more stock of palm oil existed than what was actually being reported, primarily due to flaw in data collection. It was also a manoeuvre to keep prices at a desired level for exports with low stock reporting (the two countries being net exporter of palm oil).

The case of buffer stock in India is actually the opposite. Siphoning off huge quantity of grains in the guise of waste is one of the major issues for the FCI.

At a time when chances of lower production are looming large in the country due to lower-than-normal monsoon, it can be a disaster to even report a correct picture. The mess is being circumvented by trying to break a monolith called the FCI.

Recently, in China, the state-owned Citic Resources reported that about half of the alumina stockpiles it had stored at China’s Qingdao port could not be located, heightening concerns over the use of commodities for financing in the country.

In the case of FCI stocks, in the last 50 years, banks have never asked any stock statement assured by the fact that there is an underlying sovereign guarantee. This kind of dual reporting is not new; even the Soviet system (which India later adopted) had a complicated grain stock reporting method in which invisible stocks (nevidimeye zapasy) and visible stocks (vidimeye zapasy) were classified. These secrets were hidden under “osobye papki” (special files under highest secrecy).

No doubt, the Indian bureaucracy has developed these tricks into a fine art. The question remains whether the elected representatives can force the removal of the veil from such dark practices.

The writer is a commodity commentator

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