The well-marked low-pressure area over South Andaman Sea and adjoining South-East Bay of Bengal has remained practically still and has not showed any signs of intensification yet.
India Met Department (IMD) has once again extended the window for intensification into a depression by 24 hours and further into a deep depression in the subsequent 24 hours.
May intensify
Normally, delay in the progression of a system into the next level is taken to imply the forecaster's decreasing confidence in the event.
But this may not be the case with the current system, since the IMD's numerical model has predicted intensification into a depression, a deep depression and even a cyclone.
The US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Centre has given the system the 'next two to three days' to develop. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts concurs with this outlook.
The European agency has stuck to its projection of a landfall point for the system close to Chennai around December 11.
Fresh buzz?
The US National Centres for Environmental Prediction seems to agree with the projection of this timeline, but not the point of landfall. It sees the storm crossing coast over South and adjoining Central Andhra Pradesh coast.
As for the rest of the day today, the IMD has warned of squally weather around Nicobar Islands. Winds are expected to accelerate to between 40- to 50 km/hr and gust to 60 km/hr during this period likely coinciding with the intensification of the well-marked 'low.'
Forecasts for the next two days indicate possibility of heavy rain over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Meanwhile, the European agency has alluded to the formation of a fresh storm over the Gulf of Thailand (next to the Bay of Bengal to East) around December 15.
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