Contrary to reports, the grid collapse on two days was due to different factors – underdrawal on the first day and overdrawal on the second.
The Northern Grid failure that occurred on July 30 occasioned a flood of comment in the print and electronic media. Unfortunately, some of this comment was ill-informed and misleading. This could lead to people losing faith in one of the finest institutions in the country. A well-informed approach is necessary to fully understand the events that unfolded on July 30 and 31.
At the heart of our National Grid system is the vast network of Powergrid Corporation of India (PGCIL) — one of the world’s largest and most respected power transmission utilities, that transmits 50 per cent of the country’s power over its EHVAC & HVDC lines with an enviable record of 99.92 per cent availability.
SUPPLY-DEMAND DYNAMIC
On July 30, going by the statements made by the Power Minister, the first failure of the Northern Grid took place at 2.35 a.m. when the grid frequency was 50.46 Hz. The timing and the grid frequency are important. It was early morning and frequency was beyond the normal upper operating limit.
It is well known that power demand varies with the time of day — it is highest during evening peak hours (generally 6-10 p.m.) and lowest during the night hours (12 midnight-6 a.m.). In graphical terms, it could be called an S-curve.
During peak hours when demand is highest, the generators tend to slow down, and so power system frequency falls below 50 Hz (cycles per second).Fifty Hz corresponds to 3,000 rpm for a conventional two-pole generating set.
Likewise, during night (or off-peak) hours when offices, shops and many factories are shut, and most lights are off, the power demand is at its lowest. At this point, power system operators have to grapple with a different type of problem — one of excess generation.
While most power generators reduce their generation at night to the extent possible to match the reduced demand, for nuclear and thermal generation there is a lower limit called ‘technical minimum’ below which the generation cannot be reduced, and the unit will have to be shut down.
If a thermal unit is shut down, it is a costly and time-consuming exercise to re-start it. Hence generators are unwilling to reduce generation below the technical minimum.
When power generation exceeds the demand, the generating sets speed up beyond 3,000 rpm and system frequency exceeds 50 Hz. On 30 July, at 0235 hours the frequency had reached as high as 50.46 Hz, much above the grid code upper limit of 50.2 Hz. Further, there is a frequency limit beyond which it is not advisable to run a generator, and the same will trip if that limit is crossed.
THE FIRST DAY
With this background in mind, the reader will be better able to appreciate what happened in the early hours of July 30. By 0235 hours the load had dropped much below the generation and the frequency had already exceeded the upper operational limit of 50.2 Hz.
The excess supply could have been dealt with in two ways — underdrawing States (consumers) should have been ordered to increase drawal as per their schedule, or generating stations should have been asked to reduce generation in line with their schedule, by shutting down sets if need be.
This obviously did not happen to the extent required, and it is a matter for the investigating committee to determine which of the two, or whether both generators and States, infringed grid operating discipline.
Demand-supply mismatch has been endemic, going by the reports of hearings being conducted by the regulator on the subject of grid indiscipline. Another uneventful night would have passed, had it not been for a trigger — which in this case was the reported tripping of a loaded line (400 kV Bina/Agra/Gwalior).
Further loss of load in a scenario where there already exists oversupply, overfrequency, (and presumably over-voltage) proved to be the proverbial last straw. Frequency went beyond trip settings, resulting in a series of generator and line shutdowns, known as a cascade tripping, because each tripping worsens the operating parameters for the surviving plant and has a snowballing effect.
So before we proceed to the events of July 31 (which were of a different type) we first need to identify the issues from the grid failure of July 30. These are broadly as follows:
Underdrawal vis-a-vis schedule by the constituents (States) at the time of the incident.
Excess generation vs schedule by the generators
Actions if any taken by the Northern Load Despatch Centre (NLDC)/Regional Load Despatch Centre (RLDC) to correct the imbalance.
Reason for tripping of the line/equipment which triggered the grid failure.
For a demand/supply mismatch which resulted in a grid frequency of 50.4 Hz it is certain that there was violation of grid discipline by some or all sections of the constituents, and/or failure of the NLDC/RLDCs to correct it in time.
The event of July 30 was a matter of ‘oversupply’ and not ‘overdrawal’ as widely reported in the media and by Power Ministry spokesmen, though the eventual outcome was the same — a grid collapse.
…AND THE SECOND
Having said this we can now turn to the events of July 31. It is difficult to piece together with any degree of exactitude the events leading up to this failure, but one thing is clear — there was excess drawal vis-a-vis schedule by certain constituents at a time when the grid was in a fragile condition, and a trigger event like a line/equipment tripping took place, thus exacerbating an existing demand- supply mismatch.
The lessons from both events are the same. Persistent underdrawal or overdrawal in disregard of LDC instructions amounts to grid indiscipline and needs to be firmly dealt with. Likewise, oversupply by generators, or failure to meet schedules also amounts to failure of grid discipline.
The action or otherwise of the NLDC/RLDCs is the next contributory factor, and all of these combine to produce catastrophic failure when a crucial line trips due possibly to poor maintenance, or some other random cause.
Therefore, State and generator discipline, and grid maintenance and operation all need more attention. All this is well within the competence of our power sector professionals and regulators, provided, of course, that they are not subjected to political interference.
The intent of the Electricity Act, 2003, is quite clearly to distance the Government from day-to-day operations of the power sector. A beginning can be made by further empowering the load despatch centres and making them independent of their respective State governments.
Respected professionals like those from Powergrid can be fully relied upon to take care of our grid and ensure reliable power supply, as they have done for the past 11 years.
(The author is an independent consultant. blfeedback@thehindu.co.in)
Keywords: grid collapse on two days, underdrawal on first daym overdrawal on second day, grid frequency



Comments:
Excellent technical analysis, true to the Hindu's tradition. We will have to learn to manage fluctuating loads. Experts should come up with answers to that. One doesn't know if things like staggered working hours, 3 time zones in India, giving low-price power in the off-peak hours to industry and agriculture, using excess power to pump back water in to a storage area, reserving power-intensive construction work to night shifts, will succeed.
Power failure has happened let us agree with it. but only because of lower demand and frequency shooting above 50hz may not be the only reason. The author should understand the generators will not be directly connected on to the grid. All the parameters are synchronized before connecting to the grid.
This particular case need to be thoroughly studied.
The attempt to analyze the causes is logical. Some of the private power stations are known to maintain maximum power generation by manually acting on the steam turbine governor even when the grid frequency begin to increase.The attitude is, why us? let others reduce/ take shutdown. This could also be a reason for maintaining high frequency during off peak hours.
The way electrical power is being managed is nothing less than magic. With the load having increased exponentially over the years and with the same old infrastructure, its still a wonder that we get power on a regular basis. Add to this the complexity of load scheduling which varies intra-day and intra-month. This would not be possible without the fore-thought of the electrical systems designers, who have designed systems for the years to come.
A Good article. It throws light on to the possible cause of disruption
which has crippled the country for two days. Interestingly, the initial
reaction was that of blaming the states for overdrawing. As has been
suggested by the author, it would be better if management of the grid be
left to the experts. Ministers and politicians should focus on
finalising policy issues and give autonomy to the experts for day-to-day
functioning, following the grid discipline.
The present system of Grid Operation in India doesn't give any control for the Grid Operator except requesting the generating companies/ distribution companies through written messages for making changes in the generation & loads. There is no way the grid operator can control beyond a certain point. A sheme shall be evolved for the Grid Opeartor to control important Lines and Transfomers in case of contigencies. This scheme can easily implemented by the NLDC/RLDC/SLDC as the required infrastructure is already available. As said only the political influence in every field makes the matters worse. The goal of self sufficiency in power sector will be a distant dream for India without drastic reforms.
then how they solve this problem and how much time was taken to recover the grid system in normal condition after 30th july 2.30 a.m.
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