India cannot be put down in the future merely because of the problems it faces today.
During an informal chat with leading minds from across the globe attending the annual “World Business Dialogue”, organised by Cologne University, more than a few references were made to the much-widely-touted London School of Economics (LSE) report, “India is not a superpower, and will not become one in the foreseeable future.”
To a great extent, the LSE study report is rational, therefore incontrovertible, especially when it comes from an academically and intellectually strong group of scholars. I would, therefore, agree with their findings generally, but with three serious caveats.
NEW LEADERS
First, from my modest experience spanning some 30 years, I am in no doubt that almost any nation and its people can progress to great heights when they are led by example of a disciplined and goal-oriented leader, willing to see the whole country as their constituency.
On the other hand, almost any people, however competent, or well-meaning, can be a failure under a vague, distracted, corrupt and immoral, self-seeking leader.
It all boils down to quality of leadership, which gives the people hope, vision and consummate behaviour with which to sculpt themselves and their institutions after.
It is amply clear that we are already attracting a new crop of educated, young people into politics and public service. I am confident that these new leaders will hopefully change our governance culture for the better.
QUESTIONING MISGOVERNANCE
Secondly, it is my belief that people of our nation are gradually beginning to hold accountable those who cling to political offices and question — thankfully, within the bounds of law — on how they are governed.
The recent Economic Survey statistics show that the ratio of Public Expenditure to National Income in India is one of the highest among developing countries. But it is also a fact that a significant proportion of the population hardly derives any benefit from public expenditure.
It is not astounding therefore, that public officers — elected officials and civil servants who are taken up by the, “get rich quickly” syndrome, are some of the wealthiest people in the country. This is being watched with resentment and impatience by the people — thanks to the feisty Fourth Estate.
Just last week, it was reported that Bahujan Samaj Party president Mayawati's assets doubled during her chief ministership of Uttar Pradesh to Rs 111 crore. This cannot continue to happen.
Sooner than later, people will muster the courage to ask questions and demand answers.
THE REAL INDIA
Thirdly, the handicap that scholars abroad have — they may, themselves, be unaware of this — is the difficulty in understanding the “Real India”. This real India is what accounts for much of its failures in the past centuries and its success story in the recent decades.
I am convinced that there exists an unseen “spirituality” in the country and its people. It only needs to be charged and turned on for dramatic changes, in the political, economic and social fields. What is now going on in the country is peripheral and cannot be the basis for long-term conclusions, like the LSE scholars seem to be driving at.
True, it was a Manmohan Singh who aroused the potential of India in the economic field, but the international community is watching the readiness with which the people caught this on, and played their parts effectively and well.
The economic boom during the past few years is created by people who have realised their strength, their needs, and are ready to play their respective part to guarantee the results.
A Narayana Murthy, or a Premji, or an Ambani, or a Mittal are not rare avatars, but very commonplace. They are, therefore, neither unusual nor one-off. Most of the billion-plus Indians are made of similar stuff. The future of the country is, therefore, assured. The LSE scholars have done a linear projection of the present and assumed that the systemic weaknesses will be there to stay. This is where they have gone woefully wrong.
The report also misses the empowerment in Indian society, in matters of education, health and nourishment, living conditions, gender equality, inclusiveness, etc. The incorrigible fundamentalists and traditionalists will cease to exist, sooner than any one can imagine.
I am convinced that India won't be a “Super Power” in the sense the term is understood now. India will give a new definition to the term, and be a peaceful and progressive model for the rest of the countries.
(The author is a former Europe Director, CII, and lives in Cologne, Germany.)




Comments:
Any country with 100 milion plus population can become a superpower. India too can do so, but.... if we had all the above average settings it will take at least a decade. With the present setting may be never. It is better to live in New zeeland rather than say UK,France etc. Citizens have a far better life in New Zeeland, which is not a super power. Super Power is an ego status of the politicans which they display and threaten the world, nothing to do with the common citizen's life.
If corruption in India is brought to a very low level, it will be a very pleasant place to live, our culture if preserved and practiced creates good ambiance to live. Unfortunately that is being eroded. Aim for a good society, we in our 5000 years history never enslaved any nation. We had a good standard of life, living a culturally rich life. Do we need to copy others. Super power is an intoxination of a GOONDA !
Good points sir!
I too had similar thoughts when I read the LSE report. They were being too rational, to the point of dismissing the fact that some miracles happen and pull countries out of the brink :)). It was like they themselves dismissed the "invisible hand" concept :)
Once in a while, there will emerge leaders in our nation... Nehru (for all his flawed policies) united the nation. After him, Vajpayee was the next mentionable... Modi could be the next (unless the media demonises him..)... We have many capable leaders... Modi, Jaya, Sheila, Nitish Kumar... (even) MMS was once a great leader, alas...
so we hope someone national emerges... to bring out this nation from the doldrums it is currently in..
We don't want to be a superpower... We just want to live in a peaceful nation, which can gurantee good health and regulated businesses with level playing fields to everyone in the country!
There is no need for paying any attention to the remarks made by celebrated scholars of London School of Economics about India's supremacy. We can certainly say that nothing can stop India from becoming a super power in the forseeable future despite -
- Political problems;
- Coalition governments at the centre;
- regional disparities;
- language fanatism;
- religonal fanatism;and
- gender inequalities etc.,etc.,
The demographic dividend for the country is a boon and the advantage for India is people have embraced and tasted the benefits of economic reforms and there will not be any going back on this matter. The knowledge economy will become a mentor in future for advanced and emerging economies also. The economy will progress even though there will be slippages and gyrations in stock markets. No one can stop India from becoming a super power. It is the real India as mentioned in these columns that will rule the roost and becomes a matter of eyesore for other nations.
Author has indeed brought out clearly the transition that is visible in the country in three broad-based areas, viz. mew leaders, questioning misgovernance and real India. In fact it is the experience of most developed countries including USA that over a period of time democracy with good governance and accountability finds roots. Currently India has serious problems in her governance and accountability. Now communication system in its own throughout the countryside through print and electronic media and cell phones is becoming effective to create awareness about what is happening in the country and elsewhere in the world and people themselves decide what should be done for their welfare and governance. With more and more exposure to education and access to IT and knowledge people will surely make country worth living if not a super economic power. Dr Amrit Patel
I don't understand this superpower obsession. Gauging by the most recent survey, most Chinese do not even think China is a superpower, when China is well ahead of India in so many fields. Self vanity (begging or demanding recognition from others i.e. countries with self serving ambitions) is not helpful. Use the criticism by the LSE as a means of improving yourself.
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