The South-West monsoon has come to a close recording a surplus of one per cent as on Friday.

Importantly, it was amongst the most evenly spread rainy season on view for a long time, with the largest deficit for any single meteorological subdivisions confined to 32 per cent for Assam and Meghalaya.

IMD FORECAST

In doing so, it also outclassed the worst case scenario made for in the best forecast made by India Meteorological Department (IMD) till as late as September.

The only deficient of the four homogenous regions was expectedly east and northeast but they, too, fell in the ‘normal' category as defined by the IMD.

Seven of the 36 met subdivisions ended up in the ‘surplus' category, a massive 26 in the ‘normal' and only three ‘deficient.'

The past one week or more peninsular India forfeit a one-time regional surplus of 10 per cent and drag down the overall surplus for the country as a whole.

Thus, peninsular India has been acting as a proxy for a secular downward trend observed over a country-wide canvas before ending up exactly on the normal for the season.

SURPRISES ELSEWHERE

But central India surprised with a 10 per cent surplus, followed by north-west India at six per cent.

In the ultimate analysis, these along with a ‘normal' peninsular India clinched the season in the country's favour.

Meanwhile on Friday, the Bay of Bengal continued to show signs of some activity with a trough from Assam and Meghalaya extending right up to south Tamil Nadu across the west of the sea basin.

An upper air cyclonic circulation hung over interior Tamil Nadu even as dry north-westerly winds prevailed in the lower levels over north-west and central India confirming the withdrawal of monsoon from these parts.

TRANSITION PHASE

An IMD outlook valid until Sunday said that scattered rain or thundershowers would break out occur over south Andhra Pradesh, interior Karnataka, Madhya Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Lakshadweep.

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