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The monsoon has made a spectacular return to ‘normal' thus far during the season on Sunday, after hitting a nadir (deficit of 14 per cent) in only the preceding month.
The overall deficit had been stuck on one per cent over the last two weeks with the rains making significant gains over peninsular, central and adjoining northwest India.
‘SURPLUS' REGIONS
In fact, all these three regions have returned to the ‘surplus' category, with only east and northeast India still featuring some deficit (12 per cent, which is ‘normal' as per India Meteorological Department (IMD) parlance.)
Going forward, forecasts favour a mostly ‘wet start' to proceedings during the first week of September for the western half of the country.
The monsoon is likely to remain active over parts of Orissa, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Gujarat during the next three days, an IMD update said on Sunday evening.
HEAVY OVER WEST
A very heavy session is currently along the west coast and adjoining west, northwest and central India and interior peninsula.
The 24 hours ending Sunday morning said that widespread rainfall occurred over Maharashtra and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
It was fairly widespread over Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, east Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Orissa, Telangana, coastal Karnataka, north interior Karnataka and Kerala.
Scattered rain was reported from Punjab, west Rajasthan, Jharkhand, coastal Andhra Pradesh and south interior Karnataka.
MORE TO COME
A weather warning valid for the next two days said that isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur over Konkan and Goa (including Mumbai).
Isolated heavy rainfall has been forecast over Orissa, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Gujarat and coastal Karnataka.
An extended outlook valid until Friday suggested the possibility of an increase in rainfall activity over northwest India and the west coast, which is in line with that of leading global models.
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