Global forecasts favour a situation where northwest India, east-central India, the east coast and the southern peninsula staying wet through the week to sign off February.
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts finds scope for yet another “active” western disturbance around February 26.
In the east and south, residual moisture in east India and accretions fanned by southeasterlies from the Bay of Bengal could feed thunderstorms during this week.
THUNDERSHOWER REGIME
The US National Centres for Environmental Prediction is also in agreement with this outlook.
Meanwhile, an India Meteorological Department (IMD) update said that northwest India and east and east-central India have already been brought under the influence of a sustaining string of thundershowers. Thundershowers enveloped the plains of northwest and even marched into east and east-central India with localised heavy rainfall being reported from isolated places in the region during the 24 hours ending Monday evening.
‘ACTIVE' WESTERLY
Scattered rain or snowfall occurred over Jammu and Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh and isolated over Uttarakhand ahead of the arrival of an “active” western disturbance from across the border on Tuesday.
Widespread rainfall has been reported from Orissa while it was fairly widespread over Haryana, east Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh.
It was scattered over Punjab, east Rajasthan, Gangetic West Bengal and Vidarbha.
The fresh “active” western disturbance would affect western Himalayan region from Tuesday onwards and the plains of northwest India mainly from Wednesday to Saturday. A weather warning issued by the IMD said that isolated thunder squalls or hailstorms may occur over Orissa, Chhattisgarh, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand and north Andhra Pradesh until Tuesday evening.
SOUTHERLY RAINS
The weather will shift gradually to south India, with an outlook valid until Saturday saying that scattered rain or thundershowers would occur over Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Rayalaseema and south Karnataka.
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