The latest Agro-Met advisory issued by India Meteorological Department (IMD) for five days ending Monday has warned that rubber plants in Kerala are likely to experience drought-like conditions.

Farmers have been advised to stop tapping of rubber and undertake soil moisture conservation measures.

‘ACTIVE' WESTERLY

Meanwhile, an evening weather update by IMD on Friday said that the fresh ‘active' incoming western disturbance would affect the western Himalayan region for the next five days.

Later, the system would push linearly into the plains of northwest India in line with its eastward movement, and set up weather there from Sunday to Tuesday. It would enter the Gangetic plains on Tuesday and Wednesday.

A weather warning issued by the IMD said that isolated heavy rain or snowfall would occur over Jammu and Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh on Saturday and Sunday.

Short-term forecast valid until Sunday said that scattered rain or snowfall would occur over Jammu and Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.

RAINS FOR PLAINS

It will be isolated over Uttarakhand on Saturday and fairly widespread thereafter. Scattered rain or thundershowers has been forecast over Rajasthan, Delhi, Punjab and Haryana from Sunday onwards.

Minimum temperatures are expected to rise by 3 to 4 deg Celsius over northwest India, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra until Monday as moisture embedded in the western disturbance steams up.

Associated convection (rising motion of air) and formation of thunder clouds would cap night radiation from escaping into upper air, thus holding up the minimum temperatures.

Maximum temperatures are also expected to rise by 2 to 4 deg Celsius over the plains of northwest India and adjoining central India during this period.

NEXT SYSTEM?

In line with the evolving pattern foreseen earlier last week, another ‘active' westerly system could enter northwest India around February 20.

A European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts prediction sees this system instrumental in likely setting up some weather over east India, along the east coast and even the southern peninsula.

This is likely to unfold in conjunction with an easterly wave/low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal washing ashore along the Sri Lankan coast and impacting the southern peninsula, the US National Centres for Environmental Prediction suggested.

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