Seasonal rainfall for the country as a whole from October 1 till date logs in at an excess of 42 per cent after Rajasthan, Odisha, West Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Saurashtra witnessed 'large excess' rainfall during the 24 hours ending yesterday (Tuesday).

Only meteorological divisions in deficit during the season till now are in North-East India (Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland-Mizoram-Manipur-Tripura); East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha in Central India; and Telangana in South Peninsula, India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.

Western disturbance in

This (Wednesday) morning, an incoming western disturbance over Pakistan and adjoining Jammu & Kashmir. A weather-making trough extends from South-West Madhya Pradesh to South Bihar across North Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand.

A cyclonic circulation persists over the central Uttar Pradesh. A fresh feeble western disturbance may affect parts of the hills of North-West India from New Year Day but may not be able to extend its warming influence much to the South. Hence a cold wave may prevail over North-West India.

Cold wave conditions

The IMD has predicted that cold wave conditions may prevail over Punjab, Haryana and Chandigarh from Friday to Sunday and over North Rajasthan on Saturday and Sunday. Cold day conditions may prevail over Bihar today and tomorrow (Wednesday and Thursday).

Minimum (night) temperatures are 2-5 degrees Celsius above normal over many parts of North-West, Central, East, North-East and North Peninsular India. They may fall by 2-4 degrees Celsius over most parts of North-West India during next two days as warm western disturbances take leave.

Night temperatures

Over Central an East India, no significant change in minimum temperatures is expected over most parts of till tomorrow (Thursday) before they climb down by 2-4 degrees Celsius. A gradual fall in minimum temperatures is expected the same margin over Gujarat till Thursday before they head north.

Dense fog is forecast over parts of Punjab, Haryana and North Rajasthan in night/morning hours ; over Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh on Thursday and Friday; and over East India on Friday and Saturday.

Rain, thundershowers

Moderate fog is likely over parts Delhi, East Uttar Pradesh and Tripura and shallow over Rajasthan, Saurashtra & Kutch, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Odisha, Bihar and West Uttar Pradesh.

Tuesday saw rainfall (in cm) at Jodhpur-1; Varanasi-2; Bapatpur-1; Pachmarhi-1; Mandla-3; Sagar and Jabalpur-2 each; Satna,-1; Daltonganj-3 and Akola-4. Thunderstorms hit West Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh.

Wet spell over Tamil Nadu

The IMD expects the current wet spell over North-West India and adjoining Central India and East India to touch off on parts of South-East Peninsula, Andaman & Nicobar Islands and North-East India with latent activity being kicked off over the Bay of Bengal ahead of the North-East monsoon formally signing off.

Isolated to scattered light/moderate rainfall is being forecast over the South-East Peninsula, parts of North-East India while it would be isolated light over Andaman & Nicobar Islands. This would be overseen by easterlies strengthening at the instance of incoming flows from the South China Sea.

Rain for East-Central India

In fact, parts of Tamil Nadu have already reported isolated light to moderate showers including at Perumbakkam and Gummidipoondi, according to the Chennai weather blogging community.

Elsewhere, rain/thundershowers were reported at many places over East Madhya Pradesh; at a few places over East Uttar Pradesh and at isolated places over Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh and Bihar till 5.30 pm on Tuesday.

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