The crucial long-term support in the ₹138-₹139 per kg region is holding well for the Aluminium futures contract traded on the Multi Commodity Exchange. The contract has been stuck in a narrow range between ₹138 and ₹143 over the last one week. Within this range, it is currently poised at the upper end of ₹143/kg range.
The contract is lacking fresh sellers to drag it decisively below ₹138. Key resistance is at current levels in the ₹143-₹144 zone. If it manages to decisively breach ₹144, a corrective rally to ₹147 or ₹148 is possible on the back of short covering. Further rally beyond ₹148 looks unlikely at the moment.
On the other hand, if it fails to break above ₹144 and reverses lower, it can dip to ₹139 and ₹138 again. In such a scenario, a range-bound move in the band between ₹138 and ₹144 is possible.
As long as the contract trades below ₹144, the possibility of it declining below ₹138 is high. A strong break below ₹138 will drag the contract lower to ₹132 or ₹130.
Short-term traders with a high-risk appetite can go short at ₹144 and ₹146. Stop-loss can be placed at ₹149 for the target of ₹134. Revise the stop-loss lower to ₹140 as soon as the contract moves down to ₹138.
Note: The recommendations are based on technical analysis. There is a risk of loss in trading.
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