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Fitch Ratings has revised the outlook on India’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to negative from stable and affirmed the rating at ‘BBB-’.
“The coronavirus pandemic has significantly weakened India’s growth outlook for this year and exposed the challenges associated with a high public-debt burden. Fitch expects economic activity to contract by 5 per cent in the fiscal year ending March 2021 (FY21) from the strict lockdown measures imposed since March 25, 2020, before rebounding by 9.5 per cent in FY22,” Fitch said.
“The rebound will mainly be driven by a low-base effect. Our forecasts are subject to considerable risks due to the continued acceleration in the number of new Covid-19 cases as the lockdown is eased gradually. It remains to be seen whether India can return to sustained growth rates of 6-7 per cent as we previously estimated, depending on the lasting impact of the pandemic, particularly in the financial sector,” it added.
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