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Economic growth during the April-June quarter is expected at 5.2 per cent and the economy will continue to perform below potential for the entire year, research firm Moody’s said today.
“(April-June quarter) GDP figures are expected to show the economy grew by just 5.2 per cent year-on-year,” Moody’s Analytics said in its India Spotlight report.
The first (April-June) quarter GDP numbers are scheduled to be released on Friday.
Moody’s said the Indian economy will perform below potential through 2012 as the current slowdown is broad-based and that there is little scope to lift growth from its current path.
The country’s GDP growth had slowed to a nine-year low of 5.3 per cent in the January-March quarter. For the entire fiscal the growth had dropped to 6.5 per cent.
“The slowdown is well entrenched, with most sectors of the economy growing below trend. The broader economy is clearly growing below potential,” Moody’s said.
It further said for 2012, the economy will grow at 5.5 per cent.
“A soft second quarter should reaffirm our 2012 GDP forecast, which sits at 5.5 per cent, while thoroughly rejecting the Government’s overly optimistic outlook for 7.6 per cent growth across the 2012-13 fiscal year,” Moody’s said.
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