Gold set for worst month in four years

Reuters November 30 | Updated on November 30, 2020 Published on November 30, 2020

Optimism over vaccine-led rebound dimmed the metal’s haven appeal

Gold slipped on Monday and was on track for its worst month in four years, as optimism over a coronavirus vaccine-led economic rebound that propelled equities to record highs dulled the metal’s safe-haven appeal.

Spot gold fell 1.2 per cent to $1,766.26 per ounce by 0301 GMT. Gold is down 5.9 per cent so far this month, its biggest monthly decline since November 2016. US gold futures dropped 0.5 per cent to $1,772.60.

“Vaccine inspired optimism about an economic bounce is really eroding the attraction of safe-haven investments like gold... the breach of $1,800 is feeding into the market imagination and appears to be another trigger,” said Michael McCarthy, chief strategist at CMC Markets.

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Vaccine optimism drove the dollar to a more than two-year low and put world stocks on course for a record month of gains. Also bolstering risk sentiment was data that showed China’s factory activity expanded at the fastest pace in more than three years in November.

Investors now eye testimony Congressional by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell this week, for clues on the likely direction monetary policy might take. “The risks are that the Fed will slow down or even halt its bond purchasing program and that’s another reason to be cautious about the outlook for gold,” McCarthy added.

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Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation likely to result from monetary stimulus. Wall street bank Citi expects bullion’s sell-off to taper in December with support in the mid $1700s. “A renewed push above $2,000/oz in the next 3-6 months seems likely,” the bank added in a note, citing its bearish dollar outlook and low-interest rates as tailwinds. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Silver slipped 3.2 per cent to $21.96 per ounce, while platinum fell 0.9 per cent to $954.64 and palladium was down 0.4 per cent at $2,416.22.

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Published on November 30, 2020
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