Commodities

Oil prices fall on concerns over recession, inventories

Reuters TOKYO | Updated on August 15, 2019 Published on August 15, 2019

Oil prices fell on Thursday, adding to sharp overnight losses as US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, fears of recession mounted and economic data out of China and Europe disappointed.

Brent crude was down 37 cents, or 0.6 per cent, at $59.11 a barrel by 0300 GMT, after falling 3 per cent in the last session. US crude was down 25 cents, or 0.5 per cent, at $54.98 a barrel, having dropped 3.3 per cent in the previous session.

The combination of a slew of data suggesting a slowdown in global growth amid the US-China trade war and persistently high levels of oil in US storage has punctured recent optimism in crude markets, but stoked expectations that leading producers may take further steps to support prices.

“Oil prices, though supported by OPEC-led production curbs...face severe headwinds as traders swing between demand-side worries and supply curtailment policies,” said Benjamin Lu, analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has been mostly trimming production since the start of 2017 and traders say they expect Saudi Arabia to reduce output further amid slowing global oil demand.

The US Treasury bond yield curve inverted on Wednesday for the first time since 2007, a sign of investor concern that the world's biggest economy may fall into recession.

China reported disappointing data for July, including a surprise drop in industrial output growth to a more than 17-year low, underlining widening economic cracks as the trade war with the US intensifies.

Global economic worries, amplified by tariff conflicts and uncertainty over Brexit, are also hitting European economies. A slump in exports sent Germany's economy into reverse in the second quarter, data showed, while the euro zone's GDP barely grew in the second quarter of 2019.

A second week of unexpected builds in US crude inventories is adding to the pressure on oil prices. US crude stocks grew by 1.6 million barrels last week, compared with analyst expectations for a decrease of 2.8 million barrels, as refineries cut output, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a report.

At 440.5 million barrels, inventories were about 3 per cent above the five-year average for this time of year, the EIA said.

Published on August 15, 2019
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