Commodities

Oil falls as US resumes Gulf of Mexico output, boosts shale supplies

Reuters Tokyo | Updated on July 16, 2019 Published on July 16, 2019

Oil prices dipped on Tuesday, extending losses from the previous session, as output in the US Gulf of Mexico resumed after Hurricane Barry and as US shale production is set to rise to a record.

Brent crude futures were down 4 cents at $66.44 a barrel by 00642 GMT. They fell 0.4 per cent overnight.

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dropped by 13 cents, or 0.2 per cent, to $59.45 a barrel. The US benchmark fell about 1 per cent in the previous session.

Producers on Monday began restoring some of the roughly three-quarters of output that was shut at the US Gulf of Mexico platforms ahead of Hurricane Barry.

“The previous storm expectations didn't pan out, which is good, but you have still got platforms with about 69 per cent of output off,” said Phin Ziebell, senior economist at National Australia Bank.

“It was a bit of a shock to supply but a short-term one. The market has returned to a bit of normality,” he said.

There was 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil production offline in the US waters of the Gulf of Mexico on Monday, about 80,000 barrels fewer than on Sunday.

Workers also were returning to the more than 280 production platforms that had been evacuated. It can take several days for full production to resume after a storm leaves the Gulf of Mexico.

The market was also weighed down by signs of further increases in output from the US, which has ridden a wave of shale oil production to rise to become the world's biggest crude oil producer, ahead of traditional top producers Russia and Saudi Arabia.

US oil output from seven major shale formations is expected to rise by about 49,000 bpd in August, to a record 8.55 million bpd, the US Energy Information Administration said in its monthly drilling productivity report. Overall US crude production is now more than 12 million bpd.

The rising US output will further undermine the efforts by Russia and Saudi Arabia to reduce global oil inventories by convincing suppliers both in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and outside of OPEC to cut production.

The global supplier group, known as OPEC+, agreed earlier this month to extend their production cuts for another nine months.

“On the one hand you have the OPEC output cuts and there's some geopolitical issues around Iran. But the demand outlook is muted and US supply is perennially good from shale oil, which seems to have structurally changed the nature of the oil market,” said Ziebell.

 

Published on July 16, 2019
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