Australian $ gains as data shows China may have turned corner

Reuters LONDON | Updated on January 17, 2020 Published on January 17, 2020

Yuan scales six-month high against the greenback

The Australian dollar rallied on Friday as Chinese data showed pressure on the world's second-biggest economy may be starting to diminish, with the offshore yuan rising to a six-month high against the greenback.

The Aussie is often traded as a liquid proxy for the Chinese yuan as the country's small, open economy is heavily reliant on exports to China.

Though China's economy grew 6.0 per cent in the December quarter from a year earlier, and 2019 growth of 6.1 per cent was the slowest in 29 years, Beijing is widely expected to introduce more stimulus measures in 2020 while investment and demand remain sluggish.

“The Chinese data overnight offered some cause for optimism with the Phase 1 trade deal with the US partially lifting the cloud of uncertainty hanging over the economy,” said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA.

The Aussie and its New Zealand counterpart rose 0.2 per cent against the dollar respectively, while the Chinese currency in the offshore market rose 0.2 per cent to 6.8636 yuan per dollar, its strongest level since July 2019.

Optimism over the Phase 1 US-China trade deal signed on Wednesday has also raised hopes that the economy may be bottoming out.

“There were rebounds in some areas, such as fixed income investments and industrial output, which is in line with other signs that China's deceleration is coming to an end,” said Masashi Hashimoto, senior currency analyst at MUFG Bank in Tokyo.

The dollar held its ground against a broad basket of currencies but was on track for a small weekly loss, with the dollar index tracking its strength against six of its major peers little changed at 97.31.

Recent data has been mildly supportive of the greenback.

US retail sales increased for a third straight month in December, and the number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits dropped for a fifth straight week last week, showing that the labour market remained strong.

Elsewhere, the British pound steadied below $1.31 on Friday and was on track for its first weekly gain in a month, despite a week of torrid data including unexpectedly low inflation and dovish comments from central bank policymakers.




Published on January 17, 2020
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