Gold & Silver

Gold dips as encouraging China data stokes appetite for riskier assets

Reuters July 15 | Updated on July 15, 2019 Published on July 15, 2019

Gold prices slipped on Monday, consolidating above $1,400 pivot, as key China data assuaged concerns about global economic slowdown and boosted the appetite for riskier assets.

Spot gold was down 0.2per cent at $1,413.20 per ounce, as of 0717 GMT. US gold futures were up 0.2 per cent at $1,415.10 an ounce.

China's June industrial output climbed 6.3per cent from a year earlier, beating a 5.2per cent forecast, while January-June fixed-asset investment rose 5.8per cent from the same period last year, surpassing a 5.5per cent increase forecast by analysts.

“Better-than-expected economic data from China just erodes concerns that the global slowdown is not as deep as expected, therefore causing some profit-taking in gold,” said Howie Lee, economist, OCBC Bank.

Meanwhile, China's economic growth slowed to 6.2per cent in the second quarter from a year earlier, the weakest pace in at least 27 years.

“Having said that the overall growth picture still looks weak. Further tensions around (US-China) trade talks and geopolitical concerns in West Asia, the need for gold as a hedge still remains strong,” he added.

“Retail sales and industrial production data that came in at higher levels suggest that the economy is in better shape and that means less potential for stimulus from the officials in China,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist, CMC Markets.

Denting the bullion's appeal, Asian shares advanced on Monday as encouraging Chinese data suggested the world's second-biggest economy may be starting to stabilise due to ramped-up stimulus from Beijing.

Also weighing on gold prices, the dollar index inched higher on Monday against a basket of major currencies.

However, the dollar index fell for three sessions in a row on prospects of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve later this month.

“The next big event for gold is the Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the end of this month, as expectations fluctuate between quarter per cent cut and half per cent cut, we should see that have an impact on gold prices,” McCarthy said.

Meanwhile, hedge funds and money managers cut their bullish stance in COMEX gold in the week ended July 9, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said in a report on Friday.

On the technical side, spot gold looks neutral in a narrow range of $1,404 to $1,421 per ounce, and an escape could suggest a direction, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Among other precious metals, silver rose 0.4per cent to $15.27 per ounce and palladium climbed 1per cent to $1,560.47.

Platinum gained 0.5per cent to $832 an ounce, after hitting its highest since July 4 at $838.73.

Published on July 15, 2019
This article is closed for comments.
Please Email the Editor