Gold & Silver

Gold firm as growth concerns, US govt shutdown drag dollar

Reuters Bengaluru | Updated on January 24, 2019 Published on January 24, 2019

Gold held steady on Thursday, supported by a softer dollar due to concerns the prolonged US government shut-down will limit economic growth even as concerns of slowing global growth grew.

Spot gold was mostly steady at $1,281.54 per ounce, as of 0717 GMT, while US gold futures were down 0.2 per cent at $1,281 per ounce.

“Rising economic and geopolitical uncertainties, a more dovish Federal Reserve and waning US dollar strength continue to underpin gold prices,” said Soni Kumari, commodity strategist with ANZ.

“However, the recent rebound in equity markets limits further upside,” she added.

The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was hamstrung versus its rivals. However, Asian shares rose on Thursday after Wall Street managed to end higher.

“The issue for gold is (that) there is a very heavy resistance seen around $1,290 and $1,310. A further weakening of the US dollar could be supportive. But we need something to really push gold through the resistance level,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets.

On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump said the US was doing well in trade talks with China, saying at a White House event that China “very much wants to make a deal.”

A prolonged US government shut-down, however, reminded investors of risks to growth to the economy.

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said in a CNN interview the US economy could see zero growth in the first three months if the partial government shut-down lasts for the whole quarter.

Meanwhile, investor focus turned to the European Central Bank (ECB), which is widely expected to keep its monetary policy unchanged at its first policy meeting of 2019 that ends later on Thursday.

Market watchers also expect ECB to acknowledge growing threats to the euro zone economy.

“Should (ECB President Mario) Draghi take a more dovish tone, we may see the euro under pressure, creating a firmer greenback and weighing upon metals prices,” MKS PAMP Group said in a note.

Technically, spot gold may retest a support at $1,278 per ounce, a break below which could cause a loss to the next support at $1,266, according to Reuters analyst Wang Tao.

Among other metals, palladium, which hit a record high of $1,434.50 an ounce last week on low inventories and rising demand, was steady at $1,346 an ounce.

Silver was down 0.3 per cent at $15.33 an ounce, while platinum rose 0.3 per cent to $796. 


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Published on January 24, 2019
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