Gold & Silver

Gold flat ahead of Fed outcome, lower oil prices lift risky bets

Reuters September 18 | Updated on September 18, 2019 Published on September 18, 2019

Gold to remain neutral between $1,488-$1,523.61/oz.   -  Reuters

Palladium set for a fourth straight drop

Gold prices were little changed on Wednesday amid cautious mood as investors awaited cues on the US central bank's stance on monetary easing, while a drop in crude prices dented demand for safe-haven bullion.

Saudi Arabia sought to reassure markets after the attack on Saturday halved its oil output, saying that full production would be restored by month's end. A risk-on sentiment in the market affects demand for bullion, often seen as an alternative investment during times of political and financial uncertainty.

Spot gold was barely changed at $1,502.70 per ounce, as of 0425 GMT. US gold futures were trading 0.2 per cent lower at $1,510.70 per ounce. “If oil prices remain high, there would be inflation risks. Now oil prices have come off because they (Saudi Arabia) said they could restore production. Therefore, there is not such a inflation risk as before,” said Helen Lau, analyst, Argonaut Securities.

However, investors are concerned this news could dissuade the US Federal Reserve from further cutting interest rates, a negative for non-interest-yielding gold, she added. Gold is considered a hedge against inflation.

Economists and analysts widely expect the Fed to cut its benchmark rate for a second time this year to counter risks posed by the US-China trade war. The chaotic moves in money markets and late-day swings in US federal funds futures mean the CME's tool shows about a 62 per cent chance that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.13 per cent, while the dollar against a basket of other currencies was little changed at 98.28. “The US administration continues to have a problem, they want Iran to take responsibility. That is why gold prices are holding up quite well, “ Lau added.

Spot gold remains neutral in a range of $1,488-$1,523.61 per ounce, and an escape could suggest a direction, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. Also in focus is the Bank of Japan's policy meeting due Thursday, where the central bank is expected to ease its policy this year.

Among other precious metals, platinum dropped 0.6 per cent to $937.62 per ounce, while silver eased 0.4 per cent to $17.95 an ounce. Palladium dipped 0.4 per cent to $1,590.65, on track for a fourth straight session of decline.

Published on September 18, 2019
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