Gold & Silver

Gold prices hold firm on trade, growth concerns

Reuters Aug 12 | Updated on August 12, 2019 Published on August 12, 2019

Gold prices held steady in holiday-thin trade on Monday, holding near the key $1,500 pivot, as uncertainties around US-China trade war and concerns of slowing global economic growth offered support.

Spot gold was mostly unchanged at $1,496.42 per ounce at 0422 GMT. US gold futures were flat at $1,508.10 an ounce. Many markets in Asia, including Singapore and Japan, were closed for a holiday on Monday.

On Friday, US President Donald Trump said he was not ready to make a deal with China and even called the September round of trade talks into question. “One risk to higher gold prices has been resolution in the US-China trade talks, so the comment made by Trump on Friday clearly diminishes the likelihood of resolution any time soon,” said ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes.

However, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said that the US was still planning to hold another round of trade talks with Chinese negotiators.

Also read: 'Prolonged trade war could lead to a recession in the US'

Earlier this month, Trump said he would impose a 10 per cent tariff on the remaining $300 billion in Chinese imports on September 1, prompting China to halt purchases of US agricultural products.

Last week, the US also accused China a currency manipulator after Beijing allowed the yuan to slip below 7 to the dollar. The escalation in trade war between the world's biggest economics triggered a stellar rally in gold prices, which has risen nearly 6 per cent so far this month.

Positive outlook

“If we see continuation in the trade war, the outlook for gold remains positive; we do see prices stabilise around above $1,500. In the near-term, there is every likelihood that we will continue see gold prices push higher,” Hynes said.

Worries about the damaging effects of trade war were underscored by a warning from Goldman Sachs of the rising risk of a recession, and that it no longer expects a trade deal before the 2020 US presidential election.

Further indicative of an economic slowdown, data last week showed the British economy unexpectedly shrank for the first time since 2012 in the second quarter, while German industrial production suffered its biggest annual decline in nine years.

Meanwhile, hedge funds and money managers raised their bullish stance in COMEX gold and trimmed net long positions in silver contracts in the week to Aug. 6, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday. Among other precious metals, silver edged 0.1 per cent lower to $16.93 per ounce.

Platinum rose 0.3 per cent to $861.29 and palladium gained 0.3 per cent to $1,425.88 an ounce.

Published on August 12, 2019
  1. Comments will be moderated by The Hindu Business Line editorial team.
  2. Comments that are abusive, personal, incendiary or irrelevant cannot be published.
  3. Please write complete sentences. Do not type comments in all capital letters, or in all lower case letters, or using abbreviated text. (example: u cannot substitute for you, d is not 'the', n is not 'and').
  4. We may remove hyperlinks within comments.
  5. Please use a genuine email ID and provide your name, to avoid rejection.