Gold & Silver

Gold up on China post-holiday buying; weaker dollar supports

Reuters | Updated on January 16, 2018 Published on October 10, 2016

gold

Gold rose for the second straight session on Monday, after falling in the preceding eight, buoyed by post-holiday buying in China and a weaker dollar, while a slowdown in US job growth bolstered expectations that US interest rate hikes would only be gradual.

Spot gold was up 0.6 per cent at $1,263.48 an ounce by 0500 GMT. US gold futures rose more than 1 per cent to $1,265.30 an ounce.

“Gold prices are quite appealing after the recent correction. In China, what we see today (after a week-long holiday) is that there is some demand to buy gold following its dip,” said Richard Xu, a fund manager at HuaAn Gold, China’s top gold exchange-traded fund (ETF).

The yellow metal touched a four month low of $1,241.20 on Friday. Spot gold ended about 4.5 per cent lower last week, its biggest weekly decline since November 2015.

“We expect gold to remain buoyant, looking for support around $1,250 following Friday’s encouraging move back above the level on the less than impressive US jobs data,” MKS PAMP Group trader Sam Laughlin said in a note.

The metal is highly sensitive to US interest rates, increases in which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.

US employment growth

US employment growth eased for the third straight month in September and the jobless rate rose, the Labour Department had said in a report on Friday.

The data showed that the economy was on firm ground, but not growing so swiftly as to knock the US central bank off its game plan of raising borrowing costs only gradually.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.1 per cent to 96.531.

Spot gold may break a resistance at $1,266 per ounce and edge up to the next resistance at $1,276 before resuming its downtrend, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

The safe haven asset was fairly subdued in its reaction to the second US presidential debate between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump.

“Talks related to the presidential election don’t count. Once elected most of the candidates follow the same practices. They don’t opt for extreme measures like they promise in their campaigns,” said Mark To, head of research at Hong Kong's Wing Fung Financial Group.

Financial markets saw less chance of a victory by Trump in his US presidential bid amid a scandal over vulgar comments he made about women.

SPDR Gold Trust

Holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 1.19 per cent to 958.90 tonnes on Friday.

Hedge funds and money managers reduced their net long positions in COMEX gold contracts to four-month lows in the week to October 4, as prices tumbled, US government data showed.

Among other precious metals, silver was up 1.2 per cent at $17.72. Platinum edged 0.5 per cent higher at $969.60, having touched a low of $946.40 an ounce on Friday, its lowest since April 7.

Palladium snapped a five session fall gaining 1.6 per cent at $675.80.

Published on October 10, 2016
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