Indian equities suffer worst July in 17 years; little hope of revival in August too

Bloomberg Mumbai | Updated on August 01, 2019 Published on August 01, 2019

Indian stocks just suffered their worst July in 17 years, and if history is to be believed, there is little hope that August will be much better.

The S&P BSE Sensex headed for its biggest drop in five months on Thursday, extending last months 4.9% retreat, as the disappointment with the country’s new budget, muted corporate earnings and the ongoing credit crunch remained a drag on sentiment. The index has fared better in August than July in only five years since 2002, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Read also: Why is the market falling post the Fed rate cut?

We are going into August with low expectations, rather no expectation at all, said Rajiv Singh, chief executive officer of Mumbai-based Karvy Stock Broking Ltd. Market should pick up the threads from here and hope it wont get worse than this.

The Sensex is down nearly 7% from its record high in early June after the release of the annual budget plan that raised taxes but offered little stimulus to revive growth. The Reserve Bank of India has been accommodative and is expected to deliver another rate cut this month, which may help boost consumer demand ahead of the holiday season which starts in September.

Read more: Maruti Suzuki reports 33 per cent dip in July sales

Hindustan Unilever Ltd., India’s largest consumer goods company, saw volumes fall to a seven-quarter low in the June quarter on account of weak rural sales. The nations largest car maker Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. on Thursday reported a 33.5 percent slump in July sales from a year earlier.

Business earnings continue to elude us and the commentary from consumer companies too don’t indicate that things might quickly mend in the coming quarters, said Dharmesh Kant, head of retail research at Mumbai-based Indianivesh Securities Ltd. If the slowdown persists into the festival season, FY20 too will have to be written off.

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Published on August 01, 2019
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