Zinc futures contract on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) has been volatile in the past week. The contract rose to a high of ₹213 per kg initially, fell back to a low of ₹205.8 and then has reversed higher again over the last couple of days. It is currently trading at ₹214 per kg.

A crucial resistance is poised near the current levels in the ₹215-₹217 zone. Whether the contract breaks above this resistance region or not will decide the next trend. Inability to breach above ₹217 and a subsequent pull-back move in the coming days will keep the broader sideways range intact. In such a scenario, the contract can fall to ₹210 or even ₹205 in the short term.

On the other hand, if the MCX-Zinc futures contract manages to break above ₹217 decisively, it can gain fresh momentum. Such a break will mark the end of the prolonged sideways consolidation that has been in place since March. A rally to ₹222 can be seen initially. Further break above ₹222 will then increase the likelihood of the contract surging towards ₹230 levels thereafter. It will also increase the possibility of the contract targeting ₹240 levels over the medium term.

Trading strategy

Traders with a medium-term perspective can go long on a decisive break above ₹217. Stop-loss can be placed at ₹203 for the target of ₹240

Note: The recommendations are based on technical analysis and there is a risk of loss in trading

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