The Lead futures contract on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) fell in the past week as expected to test the support level of ₹155 per kg.
The contract dropped to a low of ₹155 on Wednesday but has reversed higher from there. It is currently trading at ₹159/kg.
The upward reversal from ₹155 has increased the possibility of the contract moving higher to test ₹161 and ₹162 levels in the near-term. Whether or not the contract breaks above the ₹161-162 resistance region will determine the next move.
Traders can stay out of the market for some time.
Watch the price action in the coming days to get a cue on the next move to take a trade position.
If the contract manages to surpass ₹162 decisively, it can gain momentum. Such a break can take the contract higher to ₹165 initially.
Further break above ₹165 will increase the possibility of the up-move extending to ₹166.5 or ₹167 thereafter.
On the other hand, if the contract reverses lower after testing the ₹161-162 resistance region, it can fall to ₹156 or ₹155 levels once again. In such a scenario, a sideways move between ₹154 and ₹162 is likely.
On the charts, the possibility of this sideways move between ₹154 and ₹162 looks likely for a few weeks.
The region between ₹154.5 and ₹154 is a strong and crucial support for the contract and is likely to limit the downside in the short-term.
The contract will come under renewed pressure only if it declines below ₹154 decisively.
Such a break can drag the contract lower to ₹150 or ₹149 thereafter.
Note: The recommendations are based on technical analysis and there is a risk of loss in trading.
Comments
Comments have to be in English, and in full sentences. They cannot be abusive or personal. Please abide by our community guidelines for posting your comments.
We have migrated to a new commenting platform. If you are already a registered user of TheHindu Businessline and logged in, you may continue to engage with our articles. If you do not have an account please register and login to post comments. Users can access their older comments by logging into their accounts on Vuukle.