Here are answers to readers’ queries on the performance of their stock holdings.
What are the future prospects for Oil India and Grasim. I would like to buy these stocks.
Vasanthalakshmi Pai
Oil India (₹494.7): After encountering a key resistance at ₹650 in September 2014, the stock changed direction. Since then, it has been on an intermediate-term downtrend. The short-term trend is also down.
While trending down, the stock decisively broke through a key support at ₹550 this January. It now tets a key support band between ₹490 and ₹500.
Indicators and oscillators in both the daily and weekly charts indicate bearishness. An emphatic fall can drag the stock down to the next significant long-term support in the band between ₹440 and ₹450.
Hence, investors looking for a long-term buy can wait and buy at the long-term support band with a stop-loss at ₹425. An upward reversal can take the stock higher to ₹550.
If it breaks past this level, it will alter the downtrend and the stock can rise to ₹570, ₹600 and then to ₹650 in the long term.
Grasim Industries (₹3,761): The stock is in an uptrend across all time-frames. However, one leg of the uptrend that started from the September 2013 low of ₹2,121 appears to have come to a halt after encountering resistance around ₹3,900 in late January this year.
This resistance has kept the stock on hold for the past four weeks. It is moving sideways with a negative bias. A strong fall below the immediate support of ₹3,650 will mar the short-term uptrend and pull the stock down to ₹3,400 or ₹3,300 level in the medium term.
The stock has a significant long-term support in the range between ₹3,200 and ₹3,300. Investors can consider buying the stock at this level with a stop-loss at ₹3,150 levels.
As long as the stock trades above ₹3,000, its long-term uptrend will remain in place. Key supports below this level are at ₹2,800 and ₹2,500.
An emphatic break above ₹3,900 can take the stock higher to ₹4,000 and then to ₹4,200 in the long run.
Could you give your medium and long-term outlook on GMR Infra and GVK Power?
Pramod D’SilvaGMR Infrastructure (₹18.5): The stock is in a downtrend across all time frames. It has been testing a significant long-term support in the band between ₹16.5 and ₹17.5 since mid-December 2014. A downward breakout of this base zone can strengthen the downtrend and drag the stock down to ₹10.6 in the medium term.
On the other hand, the stock needs to decisively rally above ₹26 to alter the intermediate-term downtrend and take it higher to ₹32 and ₹38 levels in the long term. However, key immediate resistances are pegged at ₹20 and ₹23.
GVK Power & Infrastructure (₹10.1): This stock is also on a downtrend across all time frames. It is currently testing a key support between the ₹9 and ₹9.5 band.
A conclusive fall below this support will have bearish implications and pull the stock down to ₹7.3 and ₹5.5 in the medium- to-long term.
The stock needs to breach important resistances at ₹12.5 and then ₹16 to alter its short and medium-term downtrends respectively.
Next key long-term resistances to watch are at ₹21 and ₹25.
Send your queries to techtrail@thehindu.co.in
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