Oil prices rise on talk of possible exporter moves to prop up market

Updated - January 17, 2018 at 03:42 PM.

But crude, refined product markets still dogged by surplus

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Oil prices rose by around 1 per cent on Friday, extending gains from the previous session on expectations that exporters could talk at an upcoming meeting about ways to prop up a market that continues to be dogged by a supply overhang.

International Brent crude oil futures were trading at $46.40 per barrel at 0536 GMT, up 36 cents, or 0.8 per cent, and earlier hitting a three-week high at $46.66.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $43.98 a barrel, up 49 cents, or 1.1 per cent, and touching their highest since July 25 at $44.17.

Both price benchmarks rose more than 4 per cent on Thursday.

Saudi minister comment

Markets were pushed up as Saudi Arabia's energy minister Khalid al-Falih said in a statement late on Thursday that oil producers would discuss potential action to stabilize oil prices during a meeting next month in Algeria.

“Talk of production cuts in the oil market saw prices surge overnight,” ANZ bank said on Friday.

IEA market outlook

An outlook published by the International Energy Agency (IEA) that said it expected the supply and demand balance to tighten towards year-end also supported prices.

Traders said an 8.1 per cent drop in China's oil output in July to a five-year low of 16.72 million tonnes also lifted prices because it would mean Asia's biggest economy has to import more crude.

Oil prices, however, are still some 12 per cent below their last peak in June as brimming storage tanks and production that exceeds consumption weighs on markets.

In physical oil markets, Iran set its September official selling price for light crude to Asia at a discount of $0.85 per barrel versus benchmark Oman/Dubai prices.

Discounts still in place

This made the Iranian light grade $1.30 a barrel cheaper than in the previous month, the latest sign that exporters are willing to accept discounts in return for market share.

AB Bernstein said global oil production increased by almost 0.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in July, compared to the previous month, to 97.01 million bpd, while commercial inventories increased by 5.7 million barrels to 3.09 billion barrels in June.

Despite relatively cheap crude feedstocks prices, analysts said refinery margins, known as cracks, were poor as refiners continued to make more fuel than the market can absorb, resulting in brimming storage tanks around the world.

For July, Bernstein put Brent cracking margins at $3.02 per barrel (down $1.83 a barrel from June); US Gulf Coast cracking margins at $5.06 a barrel (down $0.03); and Singapore cracking margins at $4.74 per barrel (down $1.03).

Published on August 12, 2016 05:55