Dollar holds near 4-week high vs yen, focus on US inflation data

Updated - January 10, 2018 at 09:02 PM.

Sterling steady before BoE monetary policy decision

The dollar last stood at 110.59 yen, up 0.1 per cent from late US trade on Wednesday

The dollar held steady near a four-week high against the yen on Thursday, with traders looking to US consumer inflation data later in the day for clues on the possible timing of the Federal Reserve's next rate rise.

The dollar last stood at 110.59 yen, up 0.1 per cent from late US trade on Wednesday and trading within sight of Wednesday's high of 110.69 yen, its highest level since Aug 16. The dollar, which slid to a 10-month low of 107.32 yen last week on worries over Hurricane Irma and North Korea, has climbed this week as risk sentiment improved and US Treasury yields edged higher.

A near-term focus is US inflation data due later on Thursday that will be closely watched by the US Federal Reserve as it considers when to next raise interest rates. “The market has moved a little bit to the dovish side in terms of Fed expectations, so if let's say the US inflation numbers turn out to be a bit stronger than expected, then I think it will help add a little bit more to this dollar rebound,” said Heng Koon How, head of markets strategy for United Overseas Bank in Singapore.

US core consumer price index is expected to have risen 1.6 per cent on an annual basis in August versus 1.7 per cent in July.

The Fed has a 2 per cent inflation target, and a series of subdued inflation readings have dampened expectations for the Fed to raise interest rates again this year and weighed on the dollar.

The euro held steady at $1.1886, having pulled back from a 2-1/2 year high of $1.2092 set on Friday. Later on Thursday, investors will also turn their focus to monetary policy decisions by the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank.

Sterling held steady at $1.3211. On Wednesday it faltered after setting a one-year high of $1.3329, as investors took profits before the BoE policy decision on Thursday. The BoE's policymakers are widely expected to leave rates at a record low 0.25 per cent when they make their latest policy statement at 1100 GMT.

But all eyes will be on Chief Economist Andy Haldane to see if he switches sides and joins the two members of the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee who have been voting in vain to reverse last year's quarter-point cut in rates.

Published on September 14, 2017 02:43