NATO defence ministers will try to rally around their latest plans to contain Russia on Thursday, while keeping a lid on their frustrations over new steel tariffs that US President Donald Trump has justified on national security grounds.
Briefly putting aside what NATO’s chief said were “serious differences” within the alliance, defence ministers are set to agree a plan to protect the North Atlantic against increased Russian naval strength, move troops more quickly across Europe and have more combat-ready battalions, ships and planes.
Major differences
“We see differences on trade...on climate change and the Iran nuclear deal, and these are serious differences between NATO allies,” NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg told reporters on the eve of the meeting. But he argued that the alliance had weathered divisions in its seven-decade history.
US Defence Secretary Jim Mattis is also expected to try to ease tensions with European allies in the meeting over two days in Brussels. But three NATO diplomats told
Trump’s “America first” rhetoric and inconsistent statements on NATO have morphed into policy that directly challenges European priorities, the diplomats said, citing new US metal tariffs and Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris climate change accord and the 2015 Iran nuclear accord.
NATO diplomats said they increasingly see the US president as an unknown quantity with a lack of interest in the transatlantic ties that Europe and Canada cherish. “US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo came to NATO in April and made a very favourable impression, and everyone respects and admires Jim Mattis. But there’s a fear and an uneasiness about what Trump will do next,” one diplomat said.
Trump is expected at the NATO summit in Brussels in July, a year since he first came to the alliance and publicly admonished allies for not spending enough on defence.
Stoltenberg is expected to announce higher expenditure figures for NATO Europe in 2018 later on Thursday. But Trump's envoy to NATO, Kay Bailey Hutchison, told reporters that the spending issue will remain a sore point for the president.
Following Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, NATO leaders committed to raise their defence spending towards 2 per cent of economic output by 2024, but under current projections, only 15 allies will meet that target. “It will be an issue until we have that realised, it was a commitment made in Wales, to strive for that level,” Hutchison said of the 2014 Wales summit where leaders made the pledge.
NATO diplomats and analysts cautioned that European defence ministers were unlikely to lash out against Trump on Thursday, mindful of the United States’ role in defending Europe against a newly assertive Russia.
“On the one hand they want to protect this very productive and positive relationship. On the other hand, they have to send (Mattis) a message that this is just an untenable political situation that the White House has placed them in,” said Heather Conley, a former US State Department official now with the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.
No trade war yet
Mattis also finds himself in a delicate position in Brussels, trying to balance the need for a strong NATO, while backing Trump’s decision to impose tariffs.
Trump infuriated European Union members, Canada and Mexico by imposing tariffs of 25 per cent on steel and 10 per cent on aluminium, which experts say could bleed into US security relationships, even among America's closest allies. “I think it’s still premature to call it a trade war, because as it starts maturing, you know, there’s only give and take on these things,” Mattis said.
“And so what we’re looking for is fair and reciprocal trade. We can’t have a 2 per cent on imported cars and other nations have a 10 per cent tax on our cars when they’re imported to their country,” Mattis added.