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After being disrupted by Fani, the monster storm, the pre-monsoon thundershower pattern is getting organised with above normal rainfall forecast for North-West India and parts of the South Peninsula for the week ending May 15.
Cumulatively, above normal rainfall is likely over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, South Interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu for the week ending May 15, the India Met Department (IMD) said.
Western disturbances
The week that follows will see the same pattern holding mostly for Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh and East Gujarat.
This would mean that weather-creating western disturbances, one of which is set to influence North-West India currently, would continue to travel from Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan into Rajasthan-Gujarat and further east.
Meanwhile, the week ending May 8 saw rainfall scale up dramatically over East and North-East India as well as the Central parts after the extremely severe cyclone Fani’s tryst with the Odisha coast on May 3.
Post-landfall, the weakened storm travelled into Bengal and the North-East States, thereafter to Bangladesh and Myanmar in the neighbourhood, bringing copious rainfall in its wake.
Fani aftermath
But some regions that fell under Fani’s footprint are now experiencing heat wave/severe heat wave conditions, the IMD said. Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, and Bihar are among the affected States.
Vidarbha, Telangana, Bihar, East Uttar Pradesh and West Rajasthan also witnessed heat wave/severe heat wave conditions, though this is in line with the known pattern during this time of the year.
Thunderstorms sparked by the incoming western disturbance might cap maximum temperatures over most of the country into the next week except in Odisha, coastal Andhra Pradesh and coastal Tamil Nadu where they might tend to be above normal.
The IMD located the incoming western disturbance on Friday evening as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan. It has induced the formation of an offspring cyclonic circulation over South-West Rajasthan.
Stormy in South
Thunderstorm and lightning accompanied with hail and gusty wind (40-50 km/hr) is forecast over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand on Saturday. Gusty winds (40- 50 km/hr) are likely over Jammu & Kashmir and Madhya Pradesh.
Meanwhile, a helpful trough lay extended from North Interior Odisha all the way down to the Comorin area across South Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Rayalaseema, and interior Tamil Nadu.
This is another potential weather creator with the IMD forecasting gutsy winds of up to 40 km/hr for Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Marathwada, Tamil Nadu, Pudducherry, and Kerala.
Elsewhere, thunderstorm/duststorm and lightning with gusty winds (up to 60 km/hr) is forecast over West Rajasthan; less gusty wind (50 km/hr) for East Rajasthan; and up to 40 km/hr Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh.
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