Gold & Silver

Gold near 2-week low as Fed puts Dec rate hike in play

| | Updated on: Oct 29, 2015
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Gold ticked up on Thursday but stayed near its lowest level in two weeks after the Federal Reserve hinted at a possible US rate hike in December, bolstering the dollar and reducing the appeal of non-interest-paying bullion.

Spot gold rose 0.3 percent to $1,159.50 an ounce by 0330 GMT, following a 1 per cent slide in the previous session. The metal fell on Wednesday to $1,152, its lowest since October 13. US gold futures slid over 1 per cent on Thursday, and other precious metals also fell.

“There is some short-covering and physical demand after the drop overnight, but on pretty thin volumes,’’ said a precious metals trader in Sydney.

“At these prices gold has already priced in a December rate hike. $1,150 is a big level on the downside, and on the upside I think $1,165 will be pretty hard to break,’’ he said.

Fed policy stance

The Fed had kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday as expected but surprised with a direct reference to its next policy meeting. It said raising rates at its next meeting would depend on the progress made on employment and inflation, and omitted any reference to global developments affecting US economic activity.

In recent weeks, investors had bet that the US central bank would delay its first rate hike in nearly a decade to next year due to weakness in the global economy and its impact on the United States. The surprisingly hawkish tone sent the dollar soaring against a basket of major currencies to its highest level in more than two months.

A stronger greenback makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, while higher rates also hurt the metal's appeal. Rate futures traders boosted bets that the Fed would raise rates at its next meeting on December 15-16.

SPDR Gold Trust

Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 0.17 per cent to 694.34 tonnes on Wednesday.

Investors will now be closely monitoring US data, including gross domestic product due later in the session, to gauge the strength of the economy and how it could affect the Fed’s monetary policy.

US third-quarter economic growth could surprise on the upside after government data had on Wednesday showed the goods trade deficit narrowed sharply to a seven-month low in September.

“If the (GDP) number is stronger than expected, it could reinforce the dollar rally and exert further pressure on gold,’’ said INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir.

Published on January 23, 2018

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